Abstract: A method and system for averting or mitigating undesirable drilling events during a drilling process is disclosed. The state of the drilling rig is detected, preferably automatically, based on surface and/or downhole measurement data. One or more undesirable drilling events are detected by correlating the acquired measurement data with the detected state. A drilling rig action is determined which averts or mitigates a detected undesirable drilling event. Finally, the drilling process is overridden by commanding performance of the action. The algorithm used in detecting the most likely rig state is preferably probabilistic in nature, and is even more preferably based on particle filtering techniques.