Abstract: Systems and methods of assessing climate transition risk. A computing system receives a user indication of a selected climate change scenario from a remote client device. The system identifies one or more energy factors from among energy sources. The system retrieves historical financial information directed to one or more securities from remote financial data sources. The system predicts one or more future returns for the securities, by applying the historical financial data and the energy factors to at least one hierarchical linear model. The system adjusts the predicted future returns based on a first climate scenario and the selected climate scenario, to form respective first and second adjusted returns. The system generates a climate transition risk for the securities based on a spread between the first adjusted returns and the second adjusted returns. The system provides a data set representing the climate transition risk to the remote client device.
Abstract: The present disclosure generally relates to assessing climate change risk at a security level. A computing system receives a selection of a climate change scenario from a user operating a remote client device. The computing system generates one or more environmental metrics for one or more energy sources based on the scenario selected by the user. The computing system converts the one or more environmental metrics for the one or more energy sources into one or more profitability indicators. The computing system correlates at least one energy source of the one or more energy sources to each security. The computing system generates a projected climate change risk for each security based on the one or more environmental metrics for the one or more energy sources. The computing system provides a data set representing the projected climate change risk to the remote client device.
Type:
Grant
Filed:
August 21, 2018
Date of Patent:
December 31, 2019
Assignees:
BDC II, LLC, SAND Investment Holdings, LLC
Inventors:
Thomas Stoner, Jr., Pooja Khosla, David Schimel, Mark Labovitz