Abstract: A transferable hybrid method for prognostics of engineering systems based on fundamental degradation modes is provided. The method includes developing a degradation model that represents degradation modes shared in different domains of application through the integration of physics and machine learning. The system measures sensor signals and data processing provides for extracting health indicators correlated with the fundamental degradation modes from sensors data. For the integration of physics and machine learning, the degradation mode is separated into different phases. Before the accelerated degradation phase of a system, the method is looking out to detect when the accelerated phase begins. When accelerated phase is active, the system applies a machine-learning model to provide information on the accelerated degradation phase, and evolves the degradation towards a failure threshold in a simulation of the updated physics-based model to predict the degradation progression.

Abstract: A system and method for performing hybrid reasoning to predict remaining useful life of a target system. During operation, the system measures, via a set of sensors associated with the target system, sensor signals before a prediction start time. The system updates, based on the measured sensor signals, a first set of parameters of a physics-based model associated with the target system. The system in response to determining that the target system current time is less than a prediction start time: apply a machine-learning model to estimate a second aspect of the health of the target system; and update a second set of parameters of the physics-based model. The system can perform a time simulation of the updated physics-based model to predict a wear/degradation pattern of the target system after the prediction start time; and determine, based on the predicted wear/degradation pattern, a remaining useful life of the target system.