Patents by Inventor Cameron N. Mcavoy

Cameron N. Mcavoy has filed for patents to protect the following inventions. This listing includes patent applications that are pending as well as patents that have already been granted by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO).

  • Patent number: 11055618
    Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product for weight adjusted composite model for forecasting in anomalous environments are provided in the illustrative embodiments. A base forecasting model and a second forecasting model are combined to form a composite model, the base forecasting model configured to forecast an event in a time series, the second forecasting model configured to represent an anomalous portion of data in the time series. A mixing algorithm is combined with the composite model to adjust a set of weights associated with the composite model. Upon identifying a future period in which the event is to be forecasted, using the mixing algorithm, a subset of the set of weights is adjusted to from a weight adjusted composite model. The weight adjusted composite model is executed to forecast the event in the future period.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: April 22, 2019
    Date of Patent: July 6, 2021
    Assignee: INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
    Inventors: Aaron K. Baughman, James R. Kozloski, Cameron N. Mcavoy, Brian M. O'Connell
  • Publication number: 20190251472
    Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product for weight adjusted composite model for forecasting in anomalous environments are provided in the illustrative embodiments. A base forecasting model and a second forecasting model are combined to form a composite model, the base forecasting model configured to forecast an event in a time series, the second forecasting model configured to represent an anomalous portion of data in the time series. A mixing algorithm is combined with the composite model to adjust a set of weights associated with the composite model. Upon identifying a future period in which the event is to be forecasted, using the mixing algorithm, a subset of the set of weights is adjusted to from a weight adjusted composite model. The weight adjusted composite model is executed to forecast the event in the future period.
    Type: Application
    Filed: April 22, 2019
    Publication date: August 15, 2019
    Applicant: International Business Machines Corporation
    Inventors: Aaron K. Baughman, James R. Kozloski, Cameron N. Mcavoy, Brian M. O'Connell
  • Patent number: 10373068
    Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product for weight adjusted composite model for forecasting in anomalous environments are provided in the illustrative embodiments. A base forecasting model and a second forecasting model are combined to form a composite model, the base forecasting model configured to forecast an event in a time series, the second forecasting model configured to represent an anomalous portion of data in the time series. A mixing algorithm is combined with the composite model to adjust a set of weights associated with the composite model. Upon identifying a future period in which the event is to be forecasted, using the mixing algorithm, a subset of the set of weights is adjusted to from a weight adjusted composite model. The weight adjusted composite model is executed to forecast the event in the future period.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: November 10, 2014
    Date of Patent: August 6, 2019
    Assignee: INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
    Inventors: Aaron K. Baughman, James R. Kozloski, Cameron N. Mcavoy, Brian M. O'Connell
  • Publication number: 20160132775
    Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product for weight adjusted composite model for forecasting in anomalous environments are provided in the illustrative embodiments. A base forecasting model and a second forecasting model are combined to form a composite model, the base forecasting model configured to forecast an event in a time series, the second forecasting model configured to represent an anomalous portion of data in the time series. A mixing algorithm is combined with the composite model to adjust a set of weights associated with the composite model. Upon identifying a future period in which the event is to be forecasted, using the mixing algorithm, a subset of the set of weights is adjusted to from a weight adjusted composite model. The weight adjusted composite model is executed to forecast the event in the future period.
    Type: Application
    Filed: November 10, 2014
    Publication date: May 12, 2016
    Applicant: International Business Machines Corporation
    Inventors: Aaron K. Baughman, James R. Kozloski, Cameron N. Mcavoy, Brian M. O'Connell