Abstract: The present application relates to a system for ingress traffic management. The system includes a collection system within a network configured to collect traffic arrival information for peering links of the network. The system includes a training system configured to train a model based on the traffic arrival information to predict a probability of a traffic flow arriving on a peering link. The system includes a congestion mitigation system configured to predict based on the model, for traffic flows arriving on one or more peering links, other peering links to which the traffic flows would be shifted due to a condition affecting the one or more peering links. The congestion mitigation system may determine, in response to the condition, a set of prefixes to withdraw based on the other peering links to which traffic would be shifted.