Abstract: Example embodiments of the present disclosure provide for an example method for controlling the activity of a production facility, such as a production facility having one or more automation environments. The example method includes receiving data indicative of a current production environment. The data can include data of a sensor representing a time since last unit or fill level at one or more processing stations in a production facility. The example method can include determining an impact probability of a downtime event based at least in part on data indicative of the current production environment. The example method can include determining the impact probability of a downtime event and performing a control action associated with the production facility in response to determining the impact probability of the downtime event.