Abstract: Currently available weather forecasts, which include a specific snowfall accumulation or range, do not convey the probability that snowfall will be within the forecasted snowfall accumulation range, probabilities of other snowfall accumulation amounts, or a forecaster's level of confidence. A snowfall probability distribution forecasting system is disclosed that uses a rules-based process to leverage third party weather forecasts, including members of ensemble forecasts, to generate snowfall probability distributions forecasting the most likely snowfall accumulation range, the probability that snowfall accumulation will be within the most likely snowfall accumulation range, and probabilities that snowfall accumulation will be outside of the most likely snowfall accumulation range. To ensure consistency with the deterministic forecast, the snowfall probability distribution may be shifted based on a deterministic forecast.

Abstract: A system and method for outputting weather data associated with a user-specified location based on a user-specified weather inquiry, including weather data output based on user-specified weather conditions, locations output based on a user-specified weather inquiry, notifications output regarding weather-related warnings, and notifications output based on weather-related notification thresholds.

Abstract: A system and method for forecasting perceived transitions to the four annual seasons in geographic areas is disclosed. The perceived transitions are identified by comparing forecasted daily temperatures in each geographic area to thresholds generated based on normal daily temperatures in those geographic areas. The forecasted daily temperatures may be calculated using both forecasted temperatures and forecasted perceived ambient temperatures (calculated using both temperature and humidity, cloud cover, sun intensity, and/or wind speed).

Abstract: A system and method for forecasting perceived transitions to the four annual seasons in geographic areas is disclosed. The perceived transitions are identified by comparing forecasted daily temperatures in each geographic area to thresholds generated based on normal daily temperatures in those geographic areas. The forecasted daily temperatures may be calculated using both forecasted temperatures and forecasted perceived ambient temperatures (calculated using both temperature and humidity, cloud cover, sun intensity, and/or wind speed).

Abstract: A system and method for outputting weather data associated with a user-specified location based on a user-specified weather inquiry, including weather data output based on user-specified weather conditions, locations output based on a user-specified weather inquiry, notifications output regarding weather-related warnings, and notifications output based on weather-related notification thresholds.

Abstract: A tropical cyclone analytics system that stores a plurality of ranges for each of a plurality of weather conditions, identifies a forecasted tropical cyclone, identifies a predicted path of the forecasted tropical cyclone, identifies each country or region along the predicted path of the forecasted tropical cyclone, and, for each country or region along the predicted path of the forecasted tropical cyclone, identifies forecasted weather conditions in the country or region attributable to the forecasted tropical cyclone, compares the forecasted weather conditions in the country or region to the plurality of ranges for each of the plurality of weather conditions, characterizes the forecasted tropical cyclone in the country or region based on the comparison of the forecasted weather conditions in the country or region to the plurality of ranges, and outputs the characterization for display to a user.

Abstract: A system and method of predicting the financial impact of environmental or geologic events (that include one or more environmental or geologic conditions) by determining a recurrence interval of each past condition in each location, determining the correlation between the past condition and the observable financial impact of the past event, calculating a predicted observable financial impact of each past event, calculating a predicted financial impact of each past event recurring by multiplying the predicted observable financial impact of the past event by the recurrence interval of the past condition, grouping the past events into a plurality of groups based on the predicted financial impact of the past condition recurring, determining a threshold for each group, identifying current or forecasted conditions, and determining the predicted financial impact of the current or forecasted conditions by comparing the current or forecasted conditions with the thresholds.

Abstract: Currently available weather forecasts, which include a specific snowfall accumulation or range, do not convey the probability that snowfall will be within the forecasted snowfall accumulation range, probabilities of other snowfall accumulation amounts, or a forecaster's level of confidence. A snowfall probability distribution forecasting system is disclosed that uses a rules-based process to leverage third party weather forecasts, including members of ensemble forecasts, to generate snowfall probability distributions forecasting the most likely snowfall accumulation range, the probability that snowfall accumulation will be within the most likely snowfall accumulation range, and probabilities that snowfall accumulation will be outside of the most likely snowfall accumulation range. To ensure consistency with the deterministic forecast, the snowfall probability distribution may be shifted based on a deterministic forecast.

Abstract: A system and method for outputting weather data associated with a user-specified location based on a user-specified weather inquiry, including weather data output based on user-specified weather conditions, locations output based on a user-specified weather inquiry, notifications output regarding weather-related warnings, and notifications output based on weather-related notification thresholds.

Abstract: Currently available weather forecasts, which include a specific snowfall accumulation or range, do not convey the probability that snowfall will be within the forecasted snowfall accumulation range, probabilities of other snowfall accumulation amounts, or a forecaster's level of confidence. A snowfall probability distribution forecasting system is disclosed that uses a rules-based process to leverage third party weather forecasts, including members of ensemble forecasts, to generate snowfall probability distributions forecasting the most likely snowfall accumulation range, the probability that snowfall accumulation will be within the most likely snowfall accumulation range, and probabilities that snowfall accumulation will be outside of the most likely snowfall accumulation range. To ensure consistency with the deterministic forecast, the snowfall probability distribution may be shifted based on a deterministic forecast.

Abstract: A system and method for forecasting perceived transitions to the four annual seasons in geographic areas is disclosed. The perceived transitions are identified by comparing forecasted daily temperatures in each geographic area to thresholds generated based on normal daily temperatures in those geographic areas. The forecasted daily temperatures may be calculated using both forecasted temperatures and forecasted perceived ambient temperatures (calculated using both temperature and humidity, cloud cover, sun intensity, and/or wind speed).

Abstract: A system and method of predicting the impact of forecasted weather, environmental, and geologic events (that include one or more weather/environmental/geologic conditions) by determining a recurrence interval of each past condition in each location, determining the correlation between the past condition and the observable impact of the past event, calculating a predicted observable impact of each past event, calculating a predicted impact of each past event recurring by multiplying the predicted observable impact of the past event by the recurrence interval of the past condition, grouping the past events into a plurality of groups based on the predicted impact of the past condition recurring, determining a threshold for each group, receiving forecasted conditions, and determining the predicted impact of the forecasted conditions by comparing the forecasted conditions with the thresholds.

Abstract: A portable communication device, including a location detection unit configured to determine the location of the device, a lightning detection unit configured to determine a distance between the lightning strike and the device, and a radio frequency circuit configured to output, via a communication network, data indicative of the location of the device and the distance between the lightning strike and the device. A system, including a lightning detection database and an analysis unit configured to receive, from the device via the communication network, data indicative of the location of the device and the distance between a lightning strike and the device, determine the location of the lightning strike based in part on the distance from the lightning strike to the location of the device, and store the location of the lightning strike in the lightning detection database.

Abstract: A system and method for outputting weather data associated with a user-specified location based on a user-specified weather inquiry, including weather data output based on user-specified weather conditions, locations output based on a user-specified weather inquiry, notifications output regarding weather-related warnings, and notifications output based on weather-related notification thresholds.

Abstract: A system and method for outputting weather data associated with a user-specified location based on a user-specified weather inquiry, including weather data output based on user-specified weather conditions, locations output based on a user-specified weather inquiry, notifications output regarding weather-related warnings, and notifications output based on weather-related notification thresholds.

Abstract: A system and method for outputting weather data associated with a user-specified location based on a user-specified weather inquiry, including weather data output based on user-specified weather conditions, locations output based on a user-specified weather inquiry, notifications output regarding weather-related warnings, and notifications output based on weather-related notification thresholds.

Abstract: A system and method for outputting weather data associated with a user-specified location based on a user-specified weather inquiry, including weather data output based on user-specified weather conditions, locations output based on a user-specified weather inquiry, notifications output regarding weather-related warnings, and notifications output based on weather-related notification thresholds.

Abstract: Both weather data and information about a user based on that user's behavior are used to generate an advertisement, which is then sent to the user. That can be accomplished without having the user explicitly input information about preferences.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed for forecasting probability of precipitation values and most probable precipitation amount values for, preferably, three hour time period increments starting from the present hour through approximately hour 96 (i.e., four days) or beyond. The values are recalculated at the beginning of each hour, based upon existing forecasting information and meteorological data. The values are communicated to end users through a communications channel such as the Internet.