Patents Assigned to Consensus Point, Inc.
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Publication number: 20240029090Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: ApplicationFiled: September 29, 2023Publication date: January 25, 2024Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
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Patent number: 11775991Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: GrantFiled: October 11, 2021Date of Patent: October 3, 2023Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
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Publication number: 20220028000Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: ApplicationFiled: October 11, 2021Publication date: January 27, 2022Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
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Patent number: 11151588Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: GrantFiled: September 6, 2019Date of Patent: October 19, 2021Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
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Patent number: 10825033Abstract: Systems and methods having a graphic user interface for market research surveys are provided that allow users to participate in a combined prediction market and market research environment virtually without being presented directly with a stock market environment. The systems and methods of the present invention use prediction markets to automatically transform the user-provided inputs and/or selections from market research surveys, and automatically generate data that represents the likelihood of success of a product and/or service in the marketplace or commercial markets.Type: GrantFiled: July 25, 2016Date of Patent: November 3, 2020Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Linda Rebrovick, Brian Hogue, Brad Wilson, Jason Vowell
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Publication number: 20200005341Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: ApplicationFiled: September 6, 2019Publication date: January 2, 2020Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
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Patent number: 10430813Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: GrantFiled: November 15, 2016Date of Patent: October 1, 2019Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam J. Parod, David R. Savage
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Patent number: 10410287Abstract: Systems and methods for volumetric forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine volumetric forecasts is described herein.Type: GrantFiled: December 9, 2015Date of Patent: September 10, 2019Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventor: Kevin Bradley Marsh
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Publication number: 20170061453Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: ApplicationFiled: November 15, 2016Publication date: March 2, 2017Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Robin HANSON, Brad Wilson, Adam J. PAROD, David R. SAVAGE
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Patent number: 9501794Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: GrantFiled: October 29, 2013Date of Patent: November 22, 2016Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam J Parod, David Savage
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Publication number: 20160335647Abstract: Systems and methods having a graphic user interface for market research surveys are provided that allow users to participate in a combined prediction market and market research environment virtually without being presented directly with a stock market environment. The systems and methods of the present invention use prediction markets to automatically transform the user-provided inputs and/or selections from market research surveys, and automatically generate data that represents the likelihood of success of a product and/or service in the marketplace or commercial markets.Type: ApplicationFiled: July 25, 2016Publication date: November 17, 2016Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Linda REBROVICK, Brian HOGUE, Brad WILSON, Jason VOWELL
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Publication number: 20160092989Abstract: Systems and methods for volumetric forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine volumetric forecasts is described herein.Type: ApplicationFiled: December 9, 2015Publication date: March 31, 2016Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventor: Kevin Bradley Marsh
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Publication number: 20140188559Abstract: Systems and methods having a graphic user interface for market research surveys are provided that allow users to participate in a combined prediction market and market research environment virtually without being presented directly with a stock market environment. The systems and methods of the present invention use prediction markets to automatically transform the user-provided inputs and/or selections from market research surveys, and automatically generate data that represents the likelihood of success of a product and/or service in the marketplace or commercial markets.Type: ApplicationFiled: December 27, 2013Publication date: July 3, 2014Applicant: CONSENSUS POINT, INCInventors: Linda REBROVICK, Brian HOGUE, Brad WILSON, Jason VOWELL
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Patent number: 8612331Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: GrantFiled: October 21, 2011Date of Patent: December 17, 2013Assignee: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam Parod, David Savage