Patents Assigned to Consensus Point, Inc.
  • Publication number: 20240029090
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Application
    Filed: September 29, 2023
    Publication date: January 25, 2024
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
  • Publication number: 20220028000
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Application
    Filed: October 11, 2021
    Publication date: January 27, 2022
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
  • Publication number: 20200005341
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Application
    Filed: September 6, 2019
    Publication date: January 2, 2020
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
  • Publication number: 20170061453
    Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.
    Type: Application
    Filed: November 15, 2016
    Publication date: March 2, 2017
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Robin HANSON, Brad Wilson, Adam J. PAROD, David R. SAVAGE
  • Publication number: 20160335647
    Abstract: Systems and methods having a graphic user interface for market research surveys are provided that allow users to participate in a combined prediction market and market research environment virtually without being presented directly with a stock market environment. The systems and methods of the present invention use prediction markets to automatically transform the user-provided inputs and/or selections from market research surveys, and automatically generate data that represents the likelihood of success of a product and/or service in the marketplace or commercial markets.
    Type: Application
    Filed: July 25, 2016
    Publication date: November 17, 2016
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Linda REBROVICK, Brian HOGUE, Brad WILSON, Jason VOWELL
  • Publication number: 20160092989
    Abstract: Systems and methods for volumetric forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine volumetric forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Application
    Filed: December 9, 2015
    Publication date: March 31, 2016
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventor: Kevin Bradley Marsh
  • Patent number: 8612331
    Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: October 21, 2011
    Date of Patent: December 17, 2013
    Assignee: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam Parod, David Savage