Abstract: A spatial autocorrelation machine learning-based downscaling method of satellite precipitation data includes obtaining the TRMM precipitation data and the land surface parameters; preprocessing the land surface parameters to obtain DEM, day land surface temperature, night surface land temperature, day-and-night land surface temperature difference and NDVI with spatial resolutions of 1 km and 25 km; performing a spatial autocorrelation analysis of the TRMM precipitation data to obtain an estimated spatial autocorrelation value of the precipitation data with a spatial resolution of 25 km; downscaling the spatial resolution of the spatial autocorrelation value of the precipitation data from 25 km to 1 km; establishing a nonlinear regression model; obtaining a precipitation downscaling data with a spatial resolution of 1 km based on the nonlinear regression model. A system and a terminal are also provided.