Abstract: A system and method are presented for forecasting the risk of cyber-attacks on targeted networks. The described technology quantifies linear and non-linear damages to network-dependent assets by propagating probabilistic distributions of events in sequence and time in order to forecast damages over specified periods. Damage-forecasts are used to estimate probabilistically time-varying financial losses for cyber-attacks. The described technology incorporates quantities and dependencies for pricing insurance, re-insurance, and self-insurance, assessing cost-benefit tradeoffs for sequenced implementation of security control measures, and detecting attacks in the targeted network.
Type:
Grant
Filed:
June 9, 2017
Date of Patent:
August 25, 2020
Assignee:
Neo Prime, LLC
Inventors:
Craig A Schultz, John J. Nitao, Jeffrey M. Starr, John Compton
Abstract: A system and method are presented for forecasting the risk of cyber-attacks on targeted networks. The described technology quantifies linear and non-linear damages to network-dependent assets by propagating probabilistic distributions of events in sequence and time in order to forecast damages over specified periods. Damage-forecasts are used to estimate probabilistically time-varying financial losses for cyber-attacks. The described technology incorporates quantities and dependencies for pricing insurance, re-insurance, and self-insurance, assessing cost-benefit tradeoffs for sequenced implementation of security control measures, and detecting attacks in the targeted network.
Type:
Grant
Filed:
June 30, 2014
Date of Patent:
June 13, 2017
Assignee:
NEO PRIME, LLC
Inventors:
Craig A. Schultz, John J. Nitao, Jeffrey M. Starr, John Compton