Abstract: This invention related to methods and assays for screening for, identifying, and predicting the severity and clinical manifestations of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Specifically, this invention provides various biomarkers for the prediction of flares of the disease both in number and severity, as well as clinical manifestations of the disease, and methods of using these biomarkers to correctly subclassify patients with this disease, and prescribe appropriate treatment. The invention also provides for biomarkers of lupus disease activity, i.e., flares, as well as biomarkers for the prediction of future flares, and methods of using these biomarkers. The invention also provides, in these biomarkers, targets and methods for drug development and basic research for SLE.