Abstract: A system and method of estimating impact of software updates includes obtaining usage measures for an instance of a software application, analyzing the software update of the software application by comparing base code for the software application to updated code for the software application, identifying one or more lines of interest from the base code based on the comparing, and aggregating the usage measures for the instance associated with the lines of interest to determine an impact factor. The base code corresponds to source code for the instance. The updated code corresponds to source code for the software application after the software update is applied to the base code. In some examples, the system and method further include normalizing the impact factor based on a length of time used to collect the usage measures, a number of lines of code in the base code, and a number of lines of code in the updated code.