Abstract: A system and method for determining and identifying trendsetters within a member population, such as an online community. The trendsetters can then be used for a number of useful purposes, such as predicting future product/service trends, evaluating advertising techniques, identifying collectible items in an electronic auction, influencing search engines and recommender systems, etc. In a similar fashion, the counterparts to trendsetters, namely, trend rejecters and trend laggards can also be identified and compiled.

Abstract: A system and method for determining and identifying demand for items based on observing behavior of trendsetters within a member population, such as an online community. The trendsetters are determined by studying historical adoption behavior of a group within the member population.

Abstract: Methods and systems for modeling functional processes in enterprises, and for simulating and valuing the effects of various products and services on those processes, are described herein. A method in accordance with one aspect of the invention for marketing at least one of products and services to an operator of an enterprise includes presenting a first process model and a second process model. The first process model can graphically illustrate how at least one functional group in the enterprise responds to a selected operational circumstance. The second process model can graphically illustrate how the at least one functional group responds to the selected operational circumstance after the enterprise has implemented at least one of a selected product and a selected service configured to facilitate operation of the enterprise.

Abstract: Systems and methods are provided for processing loan applications in dynamic workflows. In a preferred embodiment, a system calls an activity engine with a top-level activity for processing a work-item, e.g., a loan application. The activity engine decomposes the top-level activity into child activities and lower-level child activities, and recursively calls itself to process the child activities until all constituent child activities have been preformed, thus performing the original top-level activity. In the preferred embodiment, each activity, work-item, user, event and role has associated rules, wherein an event represents a change in state of an activity and a role represents a class of users of the system having shared attributes. The evaluation of the associated rules dynamically creates the flow of activities, thereby creating a dynamic workflow.

Abstract: Optimizing inventory targets for nodes of a supply chain to satisfy a target customer service level may include accessing a supply chain model that has an assumed value for each of a number of inputs. An optimized inventory target is calculated according to the supply chain model to satisfy the target customer service level, and a measured actual customer service level and a measured actual value for each input are accessed. If the measured actual customer service level fails to satisfy the target customer service level, deviations between the measured actual and assumed values for each input are determined. An input for which the deviation is significant is identified to be a root cause of the failure. For a subsequent time period, using the deviation for the identified input as feedback, the assumed value for the identified input is adjusted, and a reoptimized inventory target is calculated to satisfy the target customer service level.

Abstract: A method of transforming the standard O.H.L.C. (open, high, low, close) bar chart into a new advanced chart that diagrams value changes occurring within the charted period, disclosing the sequence of occurrence of value extremes (highest price or value compared to lowest price or value) as well as the direction and momentum of value changes during the ending portion of the period.

Abstract: In one embodiment, a business process meta-model is defined that represents a business process. The business process meta-model includes control flow elements pertaining to a control flow of the business process, and annotation elements providing details for the control flow elements.

Abstract: In one embodiment, estimating demand for a supply chain includes accessing a probability distribution for expected order lead time of the supply chain. The supply chain has nodes including a starting node and an ending node and a path from the starting node to the ending node. The probability distribution for expected order lead time describes ending node demand for the ending node versus order lead time. The path is divided into order lead time segments, and the order lead time segments are associated with the probability distribution for expected order lead time by associating each order lead home segment with a corresponding order lead time range of the probability distribution for expected order lead time. A demand percentage is estimated for each order lead time segment in accordance with the probability distribution for expected order lead time in order to estimate demand for the supply chain.

Abstract: In one embodiment, a method for refining a business process model includes receiving business process data pertaining to a first phase of a business process definition from a first class of users, creating a model of a business process using the business process data received from the first class of users, receiving business process data pertaining to a second phase of the business process definition from a second class of users, and augmenting the model of the business process based on the business process data received from the second class of users. The method further includes iteratively refining the model of the business process in response to input provided by the first class of users and/or the second class of users.

Abstract: In one embodiment, optimizing inventory for a supply chain includes generating an inventory plan for the supply chains. Execution of a supply chain plan associated with the inventory plan is initiated at the supply chain. The supply chain is monitored to generate metric values. A watchpoint triggered by a metric value is detected, and a cause of the triggered watchpoint is identified using a causal tree. The inventory plan is adjusted in response to the detected triggered watchpoint and in accordance with the identified cause, and the supply chain plan is adjusted in accordance with the adjusted inventory plan. Execution of the adjusted supply chain plan is initiated, and new metric values are measured to determine performance. The performance is evaluated, and the causal tree is updated in response to the evaluation.

Abstract: Divergent storylines for media such as movies are selected using branching techniques. Enhancing the “replay value” of a movie may be accomplished by introducing many logical branches in the action and plot during the movie. Consequently, repeat viewing is encouraged by creating a dynamic viewing environment based on the preferences of the current audience. The audience may be polled prior to each logical branch. Votes are then tallied and the logical branch is selected. Viewers may also indicate preferences regarding the movie rating. Consequently, a movie may be rated for children at one viewing and adults at another. Votes or other viewer feedback may be collected by a variety of methods. The privilege of voting for particular storyline branches or other content choices may be provided for free or purchase. Each time a branch in the storyline appears the viewer may then vote to influence the direction taken by the storyline. Multiple opportunities for voting may appear during the movie.

Abstract: The present invention provides a method and apparatus for developing an optimal sales plan for multiple products with multiple price classes contingent on different possible realizations of uncertain demand over multiple time periods with the objective of maximizing expected revenue over a constrained capacity. The present invention formulates a multistage stochastic program that generates a quantity of each of the multiple products to be sold in each of the multiple time periods and a recommendation for when realized demand for at least one of the multiple time periods exceeds a planned sales volume; estimates a likelihood that the realized demand for the at least one of the multiple time periods exceeds the planned sales volume; and collects realized order data for each of the multiple time periods; and executes the multistage stochastic program using the likelihood and the realized order data to generate a sales plan.

Abstract: An automated management system for managing data, outage repair, load switching, job workflow and crew dispatching, crew workflow, installation, maintenance and restoration of utility services by integrating geographic information systems (GIS) data with many other data sources so as to gather, transform, manipulate, analyze, and produce desired information for continuously supplying utility and relevant services. The data sources include customer information systems (CIS) and billing data, interactive voice recognition (IVR) call management data, supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA), mobile crew management (MCM) data, automatic meter reading (AMR) data, automated vehicle location (AVL) data, engineering analysis data supported by 3rd party software packages (such as load monitoring and balancing), etc. In particular, the system allows an on-site engineer to retrieve data (ex. field maps, work orders, codes) or enter, via a portable device, inspection data (ex.

Abstract: A common metrics manager analyzes customer feedback responses, and assigns a weighted priority to each feedback response. The weighted priority corresponds to a particular feedback response's impact on business goals, such as customer satisfaction. The common metrics manager uses weighted priority feedback responses to generate and rank a set of common metrics. The common metrics manager uses the common metrics to generate phase goals for each phase of a product's lifecycle. The number of phase goals for each product phase corresponds to the ranking of each particular common metric. Once a product ships to a customer which is developed using the common metrics, the customer sends feedback responses to the common metrics manager which the common metrics manager uses to generate new common metrics for use with a new product lifecycle.

Abstract: The present invention is a method for improving resource allocation comprising the steps of identifying at least one criteria; Identifying sets of information wherein each set of information includes a unique unit of analysis (UOA-ID), a calendar/clock time (CCT), a CATVAR and a VAR Value; grouping each UOA-ID into an appropriate specific population (Type); identifying a Start Time wherein each UOA-ID has met said at least one criteria; forming at least one prospective or retrospective Cohort time segment for each UOA-ID based on their Start Time; placing the UOA-ID into the appropriate time segment; calculating an eligibility score for each UOA-ID for each time segment; calculating an Eligible Adjusted Variable Value; and generating at least one Output Expression that can be subdivided by each CATVA.

Abstract: The present invention is a method for improving resource allocation comprising the steps of identifying at least one criteria; Identifying sets of information wherein each set of information includes a unique unit of analysis (UOA-ID), a calendar/clock time (CCT), a CATVAR and a VAR Value; grouping each UOA-ID into an appropriate specific population (Type); identifying a Start Time wherein each UOA-ID has met said at least one criteria; forming at least one prospective or retrospective Cohort time segment for each UOA-ID based on their Start Time; placing the UOA-ID into the appropriate time segment; calculating an eligibility score for each UOA-ID for each time segment; calculating an Eligible Adjusted Variable Value; and generating at least one Output Expression.

Abstract: The present invention discloses a method, program product and system for conducting product assessment and development. One preferred embodiment relates to a concept and product development technique. An exemplary system and method relates to a web-based survey technique that facilitates developing and testing new products, business investments, and value propositions, as well as testing existing products, businesses, and value propositions. This technique includes systematic solicitation of potential customers or other targeted respondents, eliciting data from customers, automatic processing, interpretation, and scoring of the data, and automatic report generation. The disclosed technique advantageously makes use of continuous metric scales to enable respondents to rate new or existing products. Using an on-line system, this embodiment of the invention provides a fast, engaging, and inexpensive way to gauge customer acceptance and use.