Abstract: Proposed is a digital system and a method for forecasting and/or allocating risk measures for an occurrence of an impact event causing a physical loss or damage impact on cargo and/or cargo logistics causing a negative impact on the cargo and/or the cargo logistics services. Sets of measurable cargo logistics parameters are captured by the system as logistics input signals from a cargo logistics services database and are transmitted to an allocation structure. Each set of measurable cargo logistics parameters at least comprises cargo parameters and/or logistics parameters. At least one risk factor indicating a measured negative impact risk for the cargo and/or the cargo logistics services is captured by the system as risk input signals. Each of the risk factors at least corresponds to a measured impact strength or impact type of a negative impact on the cargo and/or the cargo logistics services, and/or a quantified damage at the cargo and/or on the cargo logistics services.