Abstract: Described are a system and method for determined an event occurrence rate. A sample set of content items may be obtained. Each of the content items may be associated with at least one region in a hierarchical data structure. A first impression volume may be determined for the at least one region as a function of a number of impressions registered for the content items associated with the at least one region. A scale factor may be applied to the first impression volume to generate a second impression volume. The scale factor may be selected so that the second impression volume is within a predefined range of a third impression volume. A click-through-rate (CTR) may be estimated as a function of the second impression volume and a number of clicks on the content item.