Abstract: The disclosure is directed to a system, method, and computer program for predicting the value of an idea based on crowd input. Users are prompted to vote as to whether variables for an idea (e.g., cost, time to implement, revenue/cost-savings) are greater than or less than proposed values. The proposed values are derived from probability distributions for the variables. Each time a vote is received for a variable, a new probability distribution for the variable is created, wherein parameters of the distribution (e.g., mean, shape parameter) are based on the vote data. The polling continues for each of the variables until a poll termination event occurs. The mean of the final probability distribution for each variable represents the system's estimate (or prediction) of the crowd's consensus value for the variable. Ideas are ranked based on the final consensus value estimates for the ideas.