Abstract: A computer-implemented method includes receiving a group of sets. Each set has values for immutable attributes that match values for at least one mutable attribute in a prediction request. The method includes generating a deviation model based on the group of sets. The method includes generating multiple sets of likely mutable attribute values using the deviation model. The method includes automatically selecting a neural network based on at least one of the likely mutable attribute values. The neural network includes a set of layers. Each layer includes a set of nodes. A first layer receives inputs at the set of nodes of the input layer. A last layer outputs, from the neural network, outputs modified by a preceding layer. The method includes generating a likelihood corresponding to the at least one mutable attribute in the prediction request using the neural network.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method includes selecting a group of sets. Each set has values for immutable attributes that match values for at least one mutable attribute in a prediction request. The method includes determining a conditional covariance matrix for the group of sets. The method includes generating a deviation model based on the conditional covariance matrix. The method includes sampling the deviation model to generate multiple sets of likely mutable attribute values. The method includes automatically selecting a neural network from a set of outcome models based on the likely mutable attribute values. Each neural network includes a set of layers. Each layer includes a set of nodes. A first layer receives inputs at the set of nodes of the input layer. Each layer other than the first layer receives outputs from a preceding layer and creates modified outputs. A last layer outputs the modified outputs from the neural network.

Abstract: A method includes, in response to receiving a forecasting request from a user device via a web portal, determining a measure of uncertainty associated with an input vector specified by the forecasting request. The measure of uncertainty includes a compact representation of uncertainty associated with future time intervals specified by the forecasting request. The method includes obtaining a set of historical data from a time-series data store. The method includes generating a forecast model using the set of historical data, the input vector, and the measure of uncertainty to predict outcomes incrementally for the future time intervals. The method includes determining a predicted outcome using the forecast model at an end of the future time intervals. The method includes, in response to the predicted outcome exceeding a threshold, generating a graphical user interface. The graphical user interface illustrates the mean vector and a magnitude of the predicted uncertainty measure.

Abstract: A forecasting system includes a processor and memory. The memory stores a time-series data store and instructions. The instructions include, in response to receiving a forecasting request from a user device for an entity including input data, determining a measure of uncertainty associated with the input data. The input data includes a proposed action and a forecast period. The instructions include obtaining a set of historical data from the time-series data store associated with the proposed action and generating a forecast model using the set of historical data, the input data, and the measure of uncertainty to predict outcomes incrementally during the forecast period. The instructions include determining a predicted outcome using the forecast model for the entity at an end of the forecast period and, in response to the predicted outcome exceeding a threshold, generating a communication indicating the proposed action and transmitting the communication to the user device.

Abstract: During operation, embodiments of the subject matter can perform graph classification. One embodiment of the subject matter can facilitate graph classification by maintaining locality like a Hidden Markov Model (HMM), can handle confluences unlike an HMM, and can improve accuracy by including the class at every phase unlike an MPNN and in Deep Learning.

Abstract: A computer readable medium includes a data set with data stored in rows and N columns. Each of the rows is associated with one individual patient. Each of the N columns is associated with one type of data for patients. One or more processors is configured to: initialize missing values in M ones of the N columns with M values for the M ones of the N columns, respectively; generate M mathematical models for the M ones of the N columns having one or more missing values; for each of the rows having one or more missing values, update ones of the M values for the M ones of the N columns; and fill missing values in the M ones of the N columns with the M values, respectively.

Abstract: A computer readable medium includes a data set with data stored in rows and N columns. Each of the rows is associated with one individual patient. Each of the N columns is associated with one type of data for patients. One or more processors is configured to: initialize missing values in M ones of the N columns with M values for the M ones of the N columns, respectively; generate M mathematical models for the M ones of the N columns having one or more missing values; for each of the rows having one or more missing values, update ones of the M values for the M ones of the N columns; and fill missing values in the M ones of the N columns with the M values, respectively.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method includes selecting a group of sets. Each set has values for immutable attributes that match values for at least one mutable attribute in a prediction request. The method includes determining a conditional covariance matrix for the group of sets. The method includes generating a deviation model based on the conditional covariance matrix. The method includes sampling the deviation model to generate multiple sets of likely mutable attribute values. The method includes automatically selecting a neural network from a set of outcome models based on the likely mutable attribute values. Each neural network includes a set of layers. Each layer includes a set of nodes. A first layer receives inputs at the set of nodes of the input layer. Each layer other than the first layer receives outputs from a preceding layer and creates modified outputs. A last layer outputs the modified outputs from the neural network.

Abstract: A method includes maintaining sets of values for mutable and immutable attributes. Each outcome model of a set of outcome models generates a predicted likelihood of an outcome in response to at least one immutable attribute value and at least one mutable attribute value. A prediction request specifies a first outcome, values for at least one immutable attribute, and values for at least one mutable attribute. The method includes, in response, selecting a group of the sets, where each has values for the immutable attributes that match those of the prediction request. The method includes determining a conditional covariance matrix for the group of sets and then generating a deviation model. The method includes sampling the deviation model to generate sets of mutable attribute values. The method includes, for each of the sets of mutable attribute values, generating, using a selected outcome model, a likelihood of the first outcome occurring.