Abstract: A model-assisted system and method for predicting health care services. In one implementation, a model-assisted system may comprise a least one processor programmed to access a database storing a medical record associated with a patient and analyze the medical record to identify a characteristic of the patient. The processor may determine a patient risk level indicating a likelihood that the patient will require a health care service within a predetermined time period; compare the patient risk level to a predetermined risk threshold; and generate a report indicating a recommended intervention for the patient. The processor may further determine a calibration factor indicating a difference between an average patient risk level and an average actual healthcare service usage for a first group of patients; and determine, based on the calibration factor, a bias relative to a second group of patients.

Abstract: A model-assisted system and method for predicting health care services. In one implementation, a model-assisted system may comprise a least one processor programmed to access a database storing a medical record associated with a patient and analyze the medical record to identify a characteristic of the patient. The processor may determine a patient risk level indicating a likelihood that the patient will require a health care service within a predetermined time period; compare the patient risk level to a predetermined risk threshold; and generate a report indicating a recommended intervention for the patient. The processor may further determine a calibration factor indicating a difference between an average patient risk level and an average actual healthcare service usage for a first group of patients; and determine, based on the calibration factor, a bias relative to a second group of patients.

Abstract: A model-assisted system and method for predicting health care services. In one implementation, a model-assisted system may comprise a least one processor programmed to access a database storing a medical record associated with a patient and analyze the medical record to identify a characteristic of the patient. The processor may determine a patient risk level indicating a likelihood that the patient will require a health care service within a predetermined time period; compare the patient risk level to a predetermined risk threshold; and generate a report indicating a recommended intervention for the patient. The processor may further determine a calibration factor indicating a difference between an average patient risk level and an average actual healthcare service usage for a first group of patients; and determine, based on the calibration factor, a bias relative to a second group of patients.

Abstract: In some embodiments, a system for using various types of information to augment the determination of a post-test probability of the presence of a condition is provided. In some embodiments, the information may include detailed health status or sub-population prevalence information, gathered in real-time, in order to provide a more accurate pre-test probability value. In some embodiments, the information may include augmentation information that helps provide a more accurate likelihood ratio for a given analytical test. In some embodiments, the more accurate likelihood ratios that are calculated using the augmentation information can be used to select a most-useful test for a given situation. In some embodiments, the augmentation information may include a multivariate model that allows a post-test probability to be determined using an analytic test result and various factors related to the subject without explicitly determining a pre-test probability nor a likelihood ratio.