Abstract: The disclosed computer-implemented method may calculate individual utility metrics for each combination of potential transportation requestors and cancellations to arrive at a more accurate total expected utility for shared transportation. In one embodiment, the method may reduce computation resource requirements by calculating each cancellation probability independently. In some examples, the method may only calculate utility metrics for some fixed number and/or percentage of the most probable combinations. In some embodiments, the method may account for travel time and/or distance when calculating utility metrics. By making matching decisions for shared transportation that account for the possibility of cancellation, the method may improve the efficiency of the transportation network. Various other methods, systems, and computer-readable media are also disclosed.