Abstract: An estimation system generates, from a value of a time series of an estimation object in a past period, a plurality of patterns of a transition of a value of the estimation object. Based on the plurality of generated patterns and a value of a time series of a factor in the past period, the estimation system specifies a dependency relationship between a transition pattern and a value of the factor and a transition pattern at a past (or future) time point and identifies a model in accordance with the specified dependency relationship. By inputting a value of a time series of the factor in a future period to the estimation model, the estimation system specifies a time series of a value in the future period of the estimation object using at least one transition pattern.

Abstract: A system generates a first tree structure representing a relation of a plurality of measurement data sets, and generates goodness-of-fit data based on at least a part of attribute data regarding one or more branch portions included in the first tree structure. The attribute data includes one or more attribute values at one or more points in time regarding each of one or more attribute items. The goodness-of-fit data includes goodness-of-fit for each attribute item regarding each branch portion. With regard to each attribute item for each branch portion, goodness-of-fit is a value calculated based on a parent node and two or more child nodes belonging to the relevant branch portion, and one or more attribute values corresponding to the relevant attribute item, and represents a degree that the relevant attribute item will fit as a base of a branch condition.

Abstract: A system refers to actual weather data made publicly available by a first institution, and creates a model that uses a value of a weather element for each section as an input and uses a value of a renewable energy power generation amount of the area as an output based on the actual value of the weather element calculated for each section, and the actual value of the renewable energy power generation amount of the area. The system refers to weather prediction data made publicly available by the second institution, and calculates an actual value of the weather element regarding each of the plurality of sections including the area based on a prediction value of the weather element for each segment in the corresponding section, and calculates a prediction value of the renewable energy power generation amount based on the prediction value of the weather element for each section.

Abstract: A system performs factor selection processing, which includes performing a factor selection operation for selecting one or two or more factors from one or a plurality of factors; factor filtering processing which includes: determining, about each of the one or the plurality of factors before the factor selection processing is performed, whether a factor value for prediction input to a prediction model is within a range of a plurality of factor values for specimen used to identify the prediction model; and excluding a factor, a result of the determination of which is false, and outputting a factor not excluded; and prediction processing which includes calculating the prediction value of the prediction target by inputting, to the prediction model, a factor value for prediction about each of one or more factors including the factor selected in the factor selection processing and not including the factor excluded in the factor filtering processing.

Abstract: An object of the invention is to provide a data processing system that can appropriately determine data to be used for identification of a prediction model. The data processing system that performs prediction using a prediction model, includes: a selection unit that selects data to be used for identification of a prediction model from a storage unit that stores data; and a processing unit that identifies the prediction model by using the data selected by the selection unit. The selection unit selects, from the storage unit, predetermined first data, and second data of a type and/or condition different from the first data, based on a branch condition of structure data of a structural prediction model.