Abstract: A computing system receives a plurality of game files corresponding to a plurality of games across a plurality of seasons. The computing system generates a prediction model configured to generate a possession value for an event. The computing system receives a target event, in real-time or near real-time, from a tracking system monitoring a target game. The computing system generates target features for the target event based on target event data associated with the target event. The computing system generates, via the prediction model, a target possession value for the target event based on the target event data and the target features. The target possession value represents a likelihood that a team with possession will score within a following x-seconds after the target event.