Abstract: A technique is introduced for utilizing data associated with a monitored premises to determine a likelihood of a crime, or other activity, occurring at the premises. In an example embodiment, premises data is received from one or more sources including sensor devices located at the premises and other data sources including third-party databases. The premises data is processed using a machine learning model, such as an artificial neural network, to generate a risk score that is indicative of the likelihood of a crime occurring at the premises in real-time or in the future. The introduced technique for risk evaluation can be implemented in conjunction with a premises security system, for example, to route alarms generated by monitoring devices located at the premises.