Abstract: Methods, systems, and computer-readable media for determining a chance of success for a prospect including two or more segments. The method may include receiving seismic data indicative of a plurality of anomalies in a prospect. The prospect may include a plurality of segments. Prior probabilities of success and failure scenarios may be computed for at least one of the segments of the prospect. Likelihoods of the anomalies may be determined given the success and failure scenarios for the at least one of the segments. At least two of the segments may be classified into a direct fluid indicator dependency group. A degree of correlation may be determined between the anomalies for the direct fluid indicator dependency group. A posterior chance of success may be determined for the prospect based at least in part on the degree of correlation between the anomalies.

Abstract: Methods, systems, and computer-readable media for determining a chance of success for a prospect including two or more segments. The method may include receiving seismic data indicative of a plurality of anomalies in a prospect. The prospect may include a plurality of segments. Prior probabilities of success and failure scenarios may be computed for at least one of the segments of the prospect. Likelihoods of the anomalies may be determined given the success and failure scenarios for the at least one of the segments. At least two of the segments may be classified into a direct fluid indicator dependency group. A degree of correlation may be determined between the anomalies for the direct fluid indicator dependency group. A posterior chance of success may be determined for the prospect based at least in part on the degree of correlation between the anomalies.