Abstract: A system and method are disclosed including a computer and a processor and memory. The computer receives historical sales data comprising aggregated sales data for one or more items from one or more store for at least one past time period. The computer further trains a cyclic boosting model to learn model parameters by iteratively calculating for each feature and each bin factors for at least one full feature cycle. The computer further predicts one or more demand quantities during a prediction period by applying a prediction model to historical supply chain data, wherein a training period is earlier than the prediction period, and each of the one or more demand quantities is associated with at least one item of the one or more items and at least one stocking location of the one or more stocking locations during the prediction period and rendering a demand prediction feature explanation visualization.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed including a computer and a processor and memory. The computer receives historical sales data comprising aggregated sales data for one or more items from one or more store for at least one past time period. The computer further trains a cyclic boosting model to learn model parameters by iteratively calculating for each feature and each bin factors for at least one full feature cycle. The computer further predicts one or more demand quantities during a prediction period by applying a prediction model to historical supply chain data, wherein a training period is earlier than the prediction period, and each of the one or more demand quantities is associated with at least one item of the one or more items and at least one stocking location of the one or more stocking locations during the prediction period and rendering a demand prediction feature explanation visualization.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed to generate causal inference machine learning models employing statistical background subtraction. Embodiments include a server comprising a processor and memory. Embodiments receive historical sales data for one or more past time periods and corresponding historical data for one or more causal variables. Embodiments deconfound the cause-effect relationship of historical sales data and historical data on the one or more causal variables. Embodiments define one or more sample weights for statistical background subtraction of the historical data and perform statistical background subtraction on the historical data. Embodiments train a first machine learning model to predict an absolute individual causal effect on a considered demand quantity in relation to the one or more causal variables and one or more sample weights.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed to generate causal inference machine learning models employing statistical background subtraction. Embodiments include a server comprising a processor and memory. Embodiments receive historical sales data for one or more past time periods and corresponding historical data for one or more causal variables. Embodiments deconfound the cause-effect relationship of historical sales data and historical data on the one or more causal variables. Embodiments define one or more sample weights for statistical background subtraction of the historical data and perform statistical background subtraction on the historical data. Embodiments train a first machine learning model to predict an absolute individual causal effect on a considered demand quantity in relation to the one or more causal variables and one or more sample weights.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed to train machine learning models, generate software agents, and evaluate, via reinforcement learning, the actions of the software agents in a simulated ecosystem. Embodiments include a computer comprising a processor and memory and configured to train one or more machine learning models to generate one or more software agents, wherein each software agent comprises an autonomous software program designed to execute a task in a supply chain network. Embodiments generate a first software agent and a second software agent, and a simulated supply chain ecosystem representing a hierarchical structure of supply chain network tasks. Embodiments simulate one or more tasks executed by the software agents in the simulated supply chain ecosystem, review the tasks according to one or more defined objectives, and apply reinforcement incentives to the software agents.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed to train machine learning models, generate software agents, and evaluate, via reinforcement learning, the actions of the software agents in a simulated ecosystem. Embodiments include a computer comprising a processor and memory and configured to train one or more machine learning models to generate one or more software agents, wherein each software agent comprises an autonomous software program designed to execute a task in a supply chain network. Embodiments generate a first software agent and a second software agent, and a simulated supply chain ecosystem representing a hierarchical structure of supply chain network tasks. Embodiments simulate one or more tasks executed by the software agents in the simulated supply chain ecosystem, review the tasks according to one or more defined objectives, and apply reinforcement incentives to the software agents.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed including a computer and a processor and memory. The computer receives historical sales data comprising aggregated sales data for one or more items from one or more store for at least one past time period. The computer further trains a cyclic boosting model to learn model parameters by iteratively calculating for each feature and each bin factors for at least one full feature cycle. The computer further predicts one or more demand quantities during a prediction period by applying a prediction model to historical supply chain data, wherein a training period is earlier than the prediction period, and each of the one or more demand quantities is associated with at least one item of the one or more items and at least one stocking location of the one or more stocking locations during the prediction period and rendering a demand prediction feature explanation visualization.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed including a computer and a processor and memory. The computer receives historical sales data comprising aggregated sales data for one or more items from one or more store for at least one past time period. The computer further trains a cyclic boosting model to learn model parameters by iteratively calculating for each feature and each bin factors for at least one full feature cycle. The computer further predicts one or more demand quantities during a prediction period by applying a prediction model to historical supply chain data, wherein a training period is earlier than the prediction period, and each of the one or more demand quantities is associated with at least one item of the one or more items and at least one stocking location of the one or more stocking locations during the prediction period and rendering a demand prediction feature explanation visualization.

Abstract: A system and method are disclosed to identify one or more price-demand elasticity causal factors and to forecast demand using price-demand elasticity causal factors and a corrected demand target. Embodiments include a computer comprising a processor and memory. Embodiments train a first machine learning model to identify one or more external causal factors that influence demand for one or more products. Embodiments train the first machine learning model to generate one or more price-demand elasticity causal factors to predict a target outcome for a given product demand. Embodiments determine, using a second machine learning model, a corrected demand target based on total sales and markdown sales. Embodiments predict, with the first machine learning model, a demand for the one or more products based, at least in part, on the identified one or more external causal factors, the generated one or more price-demand elasticity causal factors, and the corrected demand target.