Patents by Inventor Gregg Willcox

Gregg Willcox has filed for patents to protect the following inventions. This listing includes patent applications that are pending as well as patents that have already been granted by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO).

  • Publication number: 20190212908
    Abstract: Systems and methods for eliciting from a user a probabilistic indication of the likelihood of two possible outcomes of a future event. During a session a user manipulates a wager marker on a graphical user interface displayed on a display, where the wager marker is moveable between two limits. Probabilities for each of the two limits are determined based on the position of the marker. Values representing the probabilities are updated on the interface in real time.
    Type: Application
    Filed: March 18, 2019
    Publication date: July 11, 2019
    Inventors: Gregg Willcox, Louis B. Rosenberg
  • Publication number: 20190121529
    Abstract: Systems and methods for amplifying the intelligence of networked human populations, maximizing the accuracy of collaborative forecasts and group insights. This includes systems and methods for sending and presenting a forecasting query for a future event to a plurality of participants, each using a networked computing device, the forecasting query describing a future event to be collaboratively predicted by the population of human participants. An initial forecast response is collected from each participant and analyzed by a central server. A plurality of unique overlapping subsets of responses are determined by the server. Unique overlapping subsets of unique initial forecast responses are then displayed, at substantially the same time, on each computing device. A second forecast response is collected from each participant and a final forecast is determined.
    Type: Application
    Filed: December 21, 2018
    Publication date: April 25, 2019
    Inventors: LOUIS B. ROSENBERG, Gregg Willcox
  • Publication number: 20190042081
    Abstract: Systems and methods for obtaining dynamic behavioral data from a plurality of users of a plurality of computing devices in response to a stimuli, and using the dynamic behavioral data to make an optimized forecast regarding the outcome of a future event. During a first time period the system collects behavioral data of the user interaction with the dynamic user interface and a first displayed prompt, and then performs a perturbation analysis using the data collected during the first time period. A perturbation stimulus is displayed to the user, and during a second time period the user may additionally interact with the dynamic interface during a second time period, during which the system collects behavioral data of the user interaction during the second time period. The system determines a prediction based on data collected during at least one of the time periods from each of a plurality of users.
    Type: Application
    Filed: October 8, 2018
    Publication date: February 7, 2019
    Inventors: LOUIS B. ROSENBERG, Gregg Willcox
  • Publication number: 20180373991
    Abstract: System and method amplifying the accuracy of forecasts generated by software systems that harness the collective intelligence of human populations by curating optimized sub-populations through an intelligent selection process. Participants predict event outcomes and/or provide evaluations of their confidence in their predictions. The system determines an outlier score for each participant based on the participant's responses and the relation of the participant's responses to the predictions of the population as a whole. Participants can then be selected from the population based on the participant outlier scores.
    Type: Application
    Filed: August 9, 2018
    Publication date: December 27, 2018
    Inventors: LOUIS B. ROSENBERG, Gregg Willcox