Abstract: Computer systems and computer-implemented methods for determining a likelihood an application will exceed one or more of a resource utilization threshold or a resource demand threshold include receiving data for a plurality of applications, and based on the received data, determining one or more of a resource utilization or a resource demand for at least a subset of applications of the plurality of applications. A method additionally includes identifying a pattern from the received data, the pattern being associated with one or more of the resource utilization or the resource demand for the subset of applications, and based on the pattern, determining one or more of a resource utilization threshold or a resource demand threshold. A method can further include determining a likelihood the application will exceed one or more of the resource utilization threshold or the resource demand threshold.