Abstract: A host computing system determines a wavelet transform that represents time-series values of predictor data samples. The host computing system applies the wavelet transform to the predictor data samples to generate wavelet predictor variable data comprising a first set and a second set of shift value input data for a first scale and a second scale. The host computing system computes a set of probabilities for a target event by applying a set of timing-prediction models to the first set and the second set of shift value input data. The host computing system determines an event prediction from the set of probabilities and modifies a host system operation based on the determined event prediction.

Abstract: A method can be used to predict risk using machine learning models having efficient feature learning. A risk prediction model can be applied to time-series data associated with a target entity to generate a risk indicator. The risk prediction model can include a feature learning model for generating features from the time-series data. The risk prediction model can also include a risk classification model for generating the risk indicator. The feature learning model can include filters and can be trained. Parameters of the risk prediction model can be adjusted to minimize a loss function associated with risk indicators. An updated risk prediction model can be generated by removing a filter from an original set of filters based on influencing scores of the original filters. The risk indicator can be transmitted to a computing device for use in controlling access of the target entity to a computing environment.