Abstract: Subject innovations are directed towards a churn model using dynamic state-space modeling to determine churn risks for each active subscriber of a service provider having exhibited a precise sequence of behaviors. The churn model identifies complex behavioral patterns that are consistent with those of subscribers who have churned in a defined past, allowing for a personalized determination of churn risk. The churn model may also use static contextual data to assist in refinement of the churn model through identification of subscriber segments. A churn index is produced that may be used by an automated contextual marketing model to refine decision making for selectively marketing to a subscriber based, in part, on that individual subscriber's churn risk.

Abstract: Techniques train a tree to identify offers to send to a particular customer. Messages that include offers and having attributes are sent to a target user group. Feature measure results from the messages on the target user group, is used with feature measure results for a control user group, to train the tree with branch splits being identified based on maximizing an information gain from the feature measure results for a message/user attribute, where each node within the tree includes target and control distributions for the feature measure. The tree is traversed for a given marketing message/user, drawing randomly from feature measure distributions in the tree to determine whether to send the given marketing message to the user. By drawing randomly from the feature measure distributions, exploration and exploitation of various messages may be performed to minimize ignoring of messages that may have an information gain for particular customers.

Abstract: Subject innovations are directed towards a churn model using dynamic state-space modeling to determine churn risks for each active subscriber of a service provider having exhibited a precise sequence of behaviors. The churn model identifies complex behavioral patterns that are consistent with those of subscribers who have churned in a defined past, allowing for a personalized determination of churn risk. The churn model may also use static contextual data to assist in refinement of the churn model through identification of subscriber segments. A churn index is produced that may be used by an automated contextual marketing model to refine decision making for selectively marketing to a subscriber based, in part, on that individual subscriber's churn risk.

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques train a tree to identify offers to send to a particular customer. Messages that include offers and having attributes are sent to a target user group. Feature measure results from the messages on the target user group, is used with feature measure results for a control user group, to train the tree with branch splits being identified based on maximizing an information gain from the feature measure results for a message/user attribute, where each node within the tree includes target and control distributions for the feature measure. The tree is traversed for a given marketing message/user, drawing randomly from feature measure distributions in the tree to determine whether to send the given marketing message to the user. By drawing randomly from the feature measure distributions, exploration and exploitation of various messages may be performed to minimize ignoring of messages that may have an information gain for particular customers.

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for automatically analyzing historical information about road traffic flow in order to generate representative information regarding current or future road traffic flow, and for using such generated representative traffic flow information. Representative traffic flow information may be generated for a variety of types of useful measures of traffic flow, such as for average speed at each of multiple road locations during each of multiple time periods. Generated representative traffic flow information may be used in various ways to assist in travel and for other purposes, such as to determine likely travel times and plan optimal routes. The historical traffic data used to generate the representative traffic flow information may include data readings from physical sensors that are near or embedded in the roads, and/or data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads.

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for automatically analyzing historical information about road traffic flow in order to generate representative information regarding current or future road traffic flow, and for using such generated representative traffic flow information. Representative traffic flow information may be generated for a variety of types of useful measures of traffic flow, such as for average speed at each of multiple road locations during each of multiple time periods. Generated representative traffic flow information may be used in various ways to assist in travel and for other purposes, such as to determine likely travel times and plan optimal routes. The historical traffic data used to generate the representative traffic flow information may include data readings from physical sensors that are near or embedded in the roads, and/or data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads.

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for assessing road traffic conditions in various ways based on obtained traffic-related data, such as data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads and/or from one or more other sources (such as physical sensors near to or embedded in the roads). The road traffic conditions assessment based on obtained data samples may include various filtering and/or conditioning of the data samples, and various inferences and probabilistic determinations of traffic-related characteristics of interest from the data samples. In some situations, the inferences include repeatedly determining current traffic flow characteristics and/or predicted future traffic flow characteristics for road segments of interest during time periods of interest, such as to determine average traffic speed, traffic volume and/or occupancy, and include weighting various data samples in various ways (e.g., based on a latency of the data samples and/or a source of the data samples).

Abstract: Techniques are described for automatically analyzing historical information about road traffic flow in order to generate representative information regarding current or future road traffic flow, and for using such generated representative traffic flow information. Representative traffic flow information may be generated for a variety of types of useful measures of traffic flow, such as for average speed at each of multiple road locations during each of multiple time periods. Generated representative traffic flow information may be used in various ways to assist in travel and for other purposes, such as to determine likely travel times and plan optimal routes. The historical traffic data used to generate the representative traffic flow information may include data readings from physical sensors that are near or embedded in the roads, and/or data samples from vehicles and other mobile data sources traveling on the roads.