Abstract: The disclosed systems and methods can produce an informed consensus among multiple different opinions or preferences that can be presented in social media posts and online polls. Such an informed consensus can identify an opinion, assertion, and/or decision from among a plurality of different opinions, and can do so in a way that is more accurate, reliable, and representative of group preferences. The method can include receiving poll results having a first group and a second group, receiving comments to the poll, and identifying, based on reactions to the comments and the poll results, a comment associated with users of the second group as a critical comment, and bringing this comment to attention of users in the first group. The method can also include determining, based on the responses of users who saw or did not see the critical comment, the deliberative consensus or informed consensus of the poll.

Abstract: The disclosed techniques provide for automatically determining a score for a position represented in a digital content element based on digital signals derived from users interacting with the digital content element in an online forum. The techniques include receiving, by a computing system, digital content elements and digital signals indicating first and second positions in the online forum, the second position disagreeing with the first position, determining proportions of users associated with first and second groups corresponding to the first and second positions, determining, based on the proportions and digital signals, a conditional probability score that a random user accepts the first position given the random user accepts the second position, and determining, based on the conditional probability score and the digital signals, using a Bayesian reasoning algorithm, an informed probability score that a fully-informed user having access to all online discussion data would accept the first position.

Abstract: The disclosed systems and methods can produce an informed consensus among multiple different opinions or preferences that can be presented in social media posts and online polls. Such an informed consensus can identify an opinion, assertion, and/or decision from among a plurality of different opinions, and can do so in a way that is more accurate, reliable, and representative of group preferences. The method can include receiving poll results having a first group and a second group, receiving comments to the poll, and identifying, based on reactions to the comments and the poll results, a comment associated with users of the second group as a critical comment, and bringing this comment to attention of users in the first group. The method can also include determining, based on the responses of users who saw or did not see the critical comment, the deliberative consensus or informed consensus of the poll.