Abstract: In implementations of systems for predicting a terminal event, a computing device implements a termination system to receive input data defining a period of time and a maximum event threshold. This system uses a classification model to generate event scores for a plurality of entity devices. Each of the event scores indicates a probability of an event occurrence for a corresponding entity device within a period of time. The plurality of entity devices are segmented into a first segment and a second segment based on an event score threshold. Entity devices included in the first segment have event scores greater than the event score threshold and entity devices included in the second segment have event scores below the event score threshold. The termination system generates an indication of a probability that a number of event occurrences for the entity devices included in the second segment exceeds the maximum even threshold within the period of time.

Abstract: In implementations of systems for predicting a terminal event, a computing device implements a termination system to receive input data defining a period of time and a maximum event threshold. This system uses a classification model to generate event scores for a plurality of entity devices. Each of the event scores indicates a probability of an event occurrence for a corresponding entity device within a period of time. The plurality of entity devices are segmented into a first segment and a second segment based on an event score threshold. Entity devices included in the first segment have event scores greater than the event score threshold and entity devices included in the second segment have event scores below the event score threshold. The termination system generates an indication of a probability that a number of event occurrences for the entity devices included in the second segment exceeds the maximum even threshold within the period of time.

Abstract: An improved analytics system generates predicted event outcomes for events. The analytics system generates expected registration profiles based on event metadata that indicates predicted audience behavior for an event. This expected registration profile is used to analyze real-time audience behavior of an audience associated with the event. A predicted event outcome can be determined that indicates a time-based conversion propensity related to the audience.