Abstract: Methods and server systems for computing fraud risk scores for various merchants associated with an acquirer described herein. The method performed by a server system includes accessing merchant-related transaction data including merchant-related transaction indicators associated with a merchant from a transaction database. Method includes generating a merchant-related transaction features based on the merchant-related indicators. Method includes generating via risk prediction models, for a payment transaction with the merchant, merchant health and compliance risk scores, merchant terminal risk scores, merchant chargeback risk scores, and merchant activity risk scores based on the merchant-related transaction features. Method includes facilitating transmission of a notification message to an acquirer server associated with the merchant.

Abstract: The disclosure herein describes a system and method for predictive identification of breached entities. Identification number and expiration date pairs associated with compromised records in a source file are analyzed to identify a set of candidate entities having records at least partially matching the source file data pairs having events occurring during a selected time period. Probability vectors are calculated for records associated with each identified entity. A divergence value is calculated which represents a distance between probability distribution vectors for each entity and probability distribution vectors for the source file. A predicted breached entity is identified based on the divergence values. The predicted breached entity is notified of the predicted breach. The notification can include an identification of the breached entity, identification of breached records, predicted time of breach, and/or a recommendation to take action to mitigate the predicted breach.

Abstract: Embodiments provide methods and systems for predicting overall account-level risks of cardholders. The method performed by server system includes accessing payment transaction data associated with a cardholder from a transaction database. Method includes generating a set of transaction features based on a set of transaction indicators. The method includes determining a plurality of network risk scores associated with the cardholder based on the set of transaction features and a set of trained machine learning models. The plurality of network risk scores includes a payment capacity risk score, a contactless payment risk score, and a set of account-level risk scores. The method includes aggregating the plurality of network risk scores to calculate an overall account risk score associated with the cardholder based on a statistical model. The method also includes transmitting a notification to the issuer server associated with the cardholder based on the overall account risk score.

Abstract: The disclosure herein describes a system and method for predictive identification of breached entities. Identification number and expiration date pairs associated with compromised records in a source file are analyzed to identify a set of candidate entities having records at least partially matching the source file data pairs having events occurring during a selected time period. Probability vectors are calculated for records associated with each identified entity. A divergence value is calculated which represents a distance between probability distribution vectors for each entity and probability distribution vectors for the source file. A predicted breached entity is identified based on the divergence values. The predicted breached entity is notified of the predicted breach. The notification can include an identification of the breached entity, identification of breached records, predicted time of breach, and/or a recommendation to take action to mitigate the predicted breach.