Abstract: A computer-implemented method for technologically improving a computer-implemented machine-learning model, the method comprising receiving, by a model, at least a first data record; generating a first score representing a first likelihood that the first data record is associated with a first classification, in response to feedback received from one or more data sources communicating with at least one computing system on which the model is implemented; generating a second score to represent a second likelihood that the first data record is associated with the first classification, in response to the first score being higher than a threshold value.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method includes receiving a new data record associated with a transaction, and generating, using an adaptive model executed by the computer, a score to represent a likelihood that the transaction is associated with fraud. The adaptive model employs feedback from one or more external data sources, the feedback containing information about one or more previous data records associated with fraud and non-fraud by at least one of the one or more external data sources. Further, the adaptive model uses the information about the one or more previous data records as input variables to update scoring parameters used to generate the score for the new data record.

Abstract: The current subject matter describes scoring of transactions associated with a profiling entity so as to determine risk associated with the transactions. Data characterizing at least one new transaction can be received. A latent dirichlet allocation (LDA) model trained on historical data can be obtained. Based on new words in the received data, the LDA model can update a topic probability mixture vector. Based on the updated topic probability mixture vector, numerical values of one or more predictive features can be calculated. Based on the numerical values of the one or more predicted features, the at least one transaction in the received data can be scored. Related apparatus, systems, techniques and articles are also described.

Abstract: A system and method for automated variable creation for adaptive fraud analytics are disclosed. A data structure for creation of rules is generated. The data structure represents nodes and associations between nodes from inputs for fraud/non-fraud conditions, and is generated from fraud and non-fraud data collected in an adaptive modeling process from past transactions. All unique paths between nodes of the data structure are determined to define a rule for each path. Each rule is then converted to a binary indicator variable to generate a set of binary indicator variables, and one or more complex variables is derived from the set of binary indicator variables. The one or more binary indicator variables and one or more complex variables can be provided to an adaptive scoring engine to score new transactions or to predict future behaviors.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method and system for automated entity identification for efficient profiling in an event probability prediction system. A first subset of entities belonging to one or more entity classes is defined. At least one historical profile is constructed for each entity in the subset of entities based on a set of possible outcomes of transaction behavior of each entity in the first subset of entities. Based on the historical profiles, a second subset of entities having transaction behavior associated with a transaction is selected, the transaction behavior being predictive of at least one targeted outcome from the set of possible outcomes. The first subset of entities is redefined with the second subset of entities.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method and system for automated entity identification for efficient profiling in an event probability prediction system. A first subset of entities belonging to one or more entity classes is defined. At least one historical profile is constructed for each entity in the subset of entities based on a set of possible outcomes of transaction behavior of each entity in the first subset of entities. Based on the historical profiles, a second subset of entities having transaction behavior associated with a transaction is selected, the transaction behavior being predictive of at least one targeted outcome from the set of possible outcomes. The first subset of entities is redefined with the second subset of entities.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method and system for automated entity identification for efficient profiling in an event probability prediction system. A first subset of entities belonging to one or more entity classes is defined. At least one historical profile is constructed for each entity in the subset of entities based on a set of possible outcomes of transaction behavior of each entity in the first subset of entities. Based on the historical profiles, a second subset of entities having transaction behavior associated with a transaction is selected, the transaction behavior being predictive of at least one targeted outcome from the set of possible outcomes. The first subset of entities is redefined with the second subset of entities.

Abstract: A system and method for automated variable creation for adaptive fraud analytics are disclosed. A data structure for creation of rules is generated. The data structure represents nodes and associations between nodes from inputs for fraud/non-fraud conditions, and is generated from fraud and non-fraud data collected in an adaptive modeling process from past transactions. All unique paths between nodes of the data structure are determined to define a rule for each path. Each rule is then converted to a binary indicator variable to generate a set of binary indicator variables, and one or more complex variables is derived from the set of binary indicator variables. The one or more binary indicator variables and one or more complex variables can be provided to an adaptive scoring engine to score new transactions or to predict future behaviors.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method and system for automated entity identification for efficient profiling in an event probability prediction system. A first subset of entities belonging to one or more entity classes is defined. At least one historical profile is constructed for each entity in the subset of entities based on a set of possible outcomes of transaction behavior of each entity in the first subset of entities. Based on the historical profiles, a second subset of entities having transaction behavior associated with a transaction is selected, the transaction behavior being predictive of at least one targeted outcome from the set of possible outcomes. The first subset of entities is redefined with the second subset of entities.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method and system for automated entity identification for efficient profiling in an event probability prediction system. A first subset of entities belonging to one or more entity classes is defined. At least one historical profile is constructed for each entity in the subset of entities based on a set of possible outcomes of transaction behavior of each entity in the first subset of entities. Based on the historical profiles, a second subset of entities having transaction behavior associated with a transaction is selected, the transaction behavior being predictive of at least one targeted outcome from the set of possible outcomes. The first subset of entities is redefined with the second subset of entities.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method and system for automated entity identification for efficient profiling in an event probability prediction system. A first subset of entities belonging to one or more entity classes is defined. At least one historical profile is constructed for each entity in the subset of entities based on a set of possible outcomes of transaction behavior of each entity in the first subset of entities. Based on the historical profiles, a second subset of entities having transaction behavior associated with a transaction is selected, the transaction behavior being predictive of at least one targeted outcome from the set of possible outcomes. The first subset of entities is redefined with the second subset of entities.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method includes receiving a new data record associated with a transaction, and generating, using an adaptive model executed by the computer, a score to represent a likelihood that the transaction is associated with fraud. The adaptive model employs feedback from one or more external data sources, the feedback containing information about one or more previous data records associated with fraud and non-fraud by at least one of the one or more external data sources. Further, the adaptive model uses the information about the one or more previous data records as input variables to update scoring parameters used to generate the score for the new data record.

Abstract: Predictive modeling of consumer financial behavior, including determination of likely responses to particular marketing efforts, is provided by application of consumer transaction data to predictive models associated with merchant segments. The merchant segments are derived from the consumer transaction data based on co-occurrences of merchants in sequences of transactions. Merchant vectors represent specific merchants, and are aligned in a vector space as a function of the degree to which the merchants co-occur more or less frequently than expected. Supervised segmentation is applied to merchant vectors to form the merchant segments. Merchant segment predictive models provide predictions of spending in each merchant segment for any particular consumer, based on previous spending by the consumer. Consumer profiles describe summary statistics of each consumer's spending in the merchant segments, and across merchant segments.

Abstract: Predictive modeling of consumer financial behavior, including determination of likely responses to particular marketing efforts, is provided by application of consumer transaction data to predictive models associated with merchant segments. The merchant segments are derived from the consumer transaction data based on co-occurrences of merchants in sequences of transactions. Merchant vectors represent specific merchants, and are aligned in a vector space as a function of the degree to which the merchants co-occur more or less frequently than expected. Supervised segmentation is applied to merchant vectors to form the merchant segments. Merchant segment predictive models provide predictions of spending in each merchant segment for any particular consumer, based on previous spending by the consumer. Consumer profiles describe summary statistics of each consumer's spending in the merchant segments, and across merchant segments.