Abstract: A method for predicting an unfavorable outcome for a patient admitted to a hospital, e.g., with a COVID-19 infection is described. Attributes from an electronic health record for the patient are obtained including at least findings obtained at admission, basic patient characteristics, and laboratory data. The attributes are supplied to a classifier implemented in a programmed computer which is trained to predict a risk of the unfavorable outcome. The classifier is arranged as a hierarchical combination of (a) an initial binary classifier stratifying the patient into either a high risk group or a low risk group, and (b) child classifiers further classifying the patient in a lowest risk group or a highest risk group depending how the initial binary classifier stratified the patient as either a member of the high risk or low risk group.

Abstract: A method for predicting an unfavorable outcome for a patient admitted to a hospital, e.g., with a COVID-19 infection is described. Attributes from an electronic health record for the patient are obtained including at least findings obtained at admission, basic patient characteristics, and laboratory data. The attributes are supplied to a classifier implemented in a programmed computer which is trained to predict a risk of the unfavorable outcome. The classifier is arranged as a hierarchical combination of (a) an initial binary classifier stratifying the patient into either a high risk group or a low risk group, and (b) child classifiers further classifying the patient in a lowest risk group or a highest risk group depending how the initial binary classifier stratified the patient as either a member of the high risk or low risk group.

Abstract: A method for predicting whether an early stage (IA, IB) non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patient is at a high risk of recurrence of the cancer following surgery involves subjecting a blood-based sample from the patient (obtained prior to, at, or after the surgery) to mass spectrometry and classification with a computer implementing a classifier. If the patients blood sample is classified as “high risk”, highest risk“or the equivalent, the patient can be guided to more aggressive treatment post-surgery. The classifier, or combination of classifiers, can be arranged in a hierarchical manner to make intermediate classifications, such as intermediate/high or intermediate/low, as well as low risk” or “lowest risk” classifications. Such additional classifications may guide clinical decisions as well.

Abstract: A method for predicting an unfavorable outcome for a patient admitted to a hospital, e.g., with a COVID-19 infection is described. Attributes from an electronic health record for the patient are obtained including at least findings obtained at admission, basic patient characteristics, and laboratory data. The attributes are supplied to a classifier implemented in a programmed computer which is trained to predict a risk of the unfavorable outcome. The classifier is arranged as a hierarchical combination of (a) an initial binary classifier stratifying the patient into either a high risk group or a low risk group, and (b) child classifiers further classifying the patient in a lowest risk group or a highest risk group depending how the initial binary classifier stratified the patient as either a member of the high risk or low risk group.

Abstract: Shapley values (SVs) have become an important tool to further the goal of explainability of machine learning (ML) models. However, the computational load of exact SV calculations increases exponentially with the number of attributes. Hence, the calculation of SVs for models incorporating large numbers of interpretable attributes is problematic. Molecular diagnostic tests typically seek to leverage information from hundreds or thousands of attributes, often using training sets with fewer instances. Methods are described for evaluate SVs using Monte Carlo sampling or exact calculation in polynomial time (i.e., reasonably quickly and efficiently) using the architecture of a ML model designed for robust molecular test generation, and without requiring classifier retraining.

Abstract: A method for predicting an unfavorable outcome for a patient admitted to a hospital, e.g., with a COVID-19 infection is described. Attributes from an electronic health record for the patient are obtained including at least findings obtained at admission, basic patient characteristics, and laboratory data. The attributes are supplied to a classifier implemented in a programmed computer which is trained to predict a risk of the unfavorable outcome. The classifier is arranged as a hierarchical combination of (a) an initial binary classifier stratifying the patient into either a high risk group or a low risk group, and (b) child classifiers further classifying the patient in a lowest risk group or a highest risk group depending how the initial binary classifier stratified the patient as either a member of the high risk or low risk group.