Patents by Inventor Lawrence Koch

Lawrence Koch has filed for patents to protect the following inventions. This listing includes patent applications that are pending as well as patents that have already been granted by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO).

  • Publication number: 20070055477
    Abstract: Data slices of historical time series are leveraged to facilitate in more accurately predicting like data slices of future time series. Different predictive models are employed to detect outliers in different data slices to enhance the accuracy of the predictions. The data slices can be temporal and/or non-temporal attributes of a data set represented by the historical time series. In this manner, for example, a historical time series for a network location can be sliced temporally into one hour time periods as a function of a day, a week, a month, a year, etc. Outliers detected in these data slices can then be mitigated utilizing the predictive time series model by replacing the outlier with the expected value. The mitigated historical time series can then be employed in a predictive model to predict future web traffic for the network location (and advertising revenue values) with a substantial increase in accuracy.
    Type: Application
    Filed: September 2, 2005
    Publication date: March 8, 2007
    Applicant: Microsoft Corporation
    Inventors: David Chickering, Ashis Roy, Lawrence Koch, David Heckerman
  • Publication number: 20070005420
    Abstract: A system and method for estimating available payload inventory are provided. An advertisement delivery system generates a set of atomic market segment arrays from target market criteria for one or more advertisement campaigns to be served. The advertisement delivery system predicts future capacity and manages inventory utilizing forecasting methods and the manual adjustment of forecast values. The manual adjustment techniques include utilizing seed values, adjustment factors and/or proxy values.
    Type: Application
    Filed: June 30, 2005
    Publication date: January 4, 2007
    Applicant: Microsoft Corporation
    Inventors: Ashis Roy, Lawrence Koch, Jonathan Fay