Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product to manage a network comprising a plurality of interconnected components are described. The method includes obtaining a set of all the components that are part of the network over time, and identifying one or more repeating patterns of components among the set of all the components as corresponding lower-level definitions to generate a hierarchical set of all the components. The method also includes obtaining time-varying information regarding topology and operational values within the network, and creating a representation of the network at a set of times based on the hierarchical set of all the components and the time-varying information.

Abstract: A system and method of managing a network with assets are described. The method includes generating a directed graph with each of the assets represented as a node, determining individual failure probability of each node, computing downstream failure probability of each node according to an arrangement of the nodes in the directed graph, computing upstream failure probability of each node according to the arrangement of the nodes in directed graph, and computing network failure probability for each node based on the corresponding individual failure probability, the downstream failure probability, and the upstream failure probability. Managing the network is based on the network failure probability of the assets.

Abstract: A system and method of managing a network with assets are described. The method includes generating a directed graph with each of the assets represented as a node, determining individual failure probability of each node, computing downstream failure probability of each node according to an arrangement of the nodes in the directed graph, computing upstream failure probability of each node according to the arrangement of the nodes in directed graph, and computing network failure probability for each node based on the corresponding individual failure probability, the downstream failure probability, and the upstream failure probability. Managing the network is based on the network failure probability of the assets.

Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product to manage a network comprising a plurality of interconnected components are described. The method includes obtaining a set of all the components that are part of the network over time, and identifying one or more repeating patterns of components among the set of all the components as corresponding lower-level definitions to generate a hierarchical set of all the components. The method also includes obtaining time-varying information regarding topology and operational values within the network, and creating a representation of the network at a set of times based on the hierarchical set of all the components and the time-varying information.

Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product to manage a network comprising a plurality of interconnected components are described. The method includes obtaining a set of all the components that are part of the network over time, and identifying one or more repeating patterns of components among the set of all the components as corresponding lower-level definitions to generate a hierarchical set of all the components. The method also includes obtaining time-varying information regarding topology and operational values within the network, and creating a representation of the network at a set of times based on the hierarchical set of all the components and the time-varying information.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method includes identifying a noise cluster, representing the noise cluster according to a variational model, projecting the variational model onto one or more corners to yield a projected noise cluster, and determining a computed noise for the projected noise cluster. Optionally, the noise cluster includes one or more noise cluster elements, and each of the noise cluster elements are expressed as one or more circuit element terms, according to a canonical form. Optionally, at least one of the corners is a bounding corner. For the bounding corner, the projected noise cluster is generated by maximizing the circuit element terms for those noise cluster elements that tend to increase noise, and by minimizing the circuit element terms for those noise cluster elements that tend to decrease noise, whereby noise is maximized for the canonical form. A corresponding computer program product and computer system are also disclosed.

Abstract: An example method comprises receiving an initial topology of an electrical, receiving a selection of a region of interest, determining one or more external equivalents of the electrical network that are external to the region of interest, determining one or more internal equivalents of the region of interest, calculating a sensitivity matrix based on electrical impedances of at least one of the one or more internal equivalents and based on an amount of power exchanged when in operation, determining a subset of the sensitivity matrix as indicating highly sensitive buses, receiving historical data regarding power flows, predicting power flow for each highly sensitive buses, comparing the predicted power flow to at least one predetermined threshold to determine possible network congestion, and generating a report regarding network congestion and locations of possible network congestion in the region of interest based on the comparison.

Abstract: An example method comprises receiving an initial topology of an electrical, receiving a selection of a region of interest, determining one or more external equivalents of the electrical network that are external to the region of interest, determining one or more internal equivalents of the region of interest, calculating a sensitivity matrix based on electrical impedances of at least one of the one or more internal equivalents and based on an amount of power exchanged when in operation, determining a subset of the sensitivity matrix as indicating highly sensitive buses, receiving historical data regarding power flows, predicting power flow for each highly sensitive buses, comparing the predicted power flow to at least one predetermined threshold to determine possible network congestion, and generating a report regarding network congestion and locations of possible network congestion in the region of interest based on the comparison.

Abstract: Embodiments are directed to a computer-implemented method, computer system, and computer program product for forecasting power generation. The method includes receiving a first power generation forecast. A second power generation forecast is received, along with actual observed power generation. A model is created for the observed power generation based on the second power generation forecast. A third power generation forecast is created using the model for the observed power generation, the second power generation forecast, and the first power generation forecast.

Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product to manage a network comprising a plurality of interconnected components are described. The method includes obtaining a set of all the components that are part of the network over time, and identifying one or more repeating patterns of components among the set of all the components as corresponding lower-level definitions to generate a hierarchical set of all the components. The method also includes obtaining time-varying information regarding topology and operational values within the network, and creating a representation of the network at a set of times based on the hierarchical set of all the components and the time-varying information.

Abstract: A method, computer system, and computer program product. Weather forecast data is generated with respect to an area encompassing a location of a solar farm by a computer system. Solar power output by the solar farm is forecasted by the computer system based on the generated weather forecast data. Forecasted solar power output data is generated by the computer system based on the forecasted solar power output by the solar farm. A power grid operation, including one or both of a power grid balancing operation and a power grid optimization operation, is performed based on the forecasted solar power output data.

Abstract: A system and method of managing a network with assets are described. The method includes generating a directed graph with each of the assets represented as a node, determining individual failure probability of each node, computing downstream failure probability of each node according to an arrangement of the nodes in the directed graph, computing upstream failure probability of each node according to the arrangement of the nodes in directed graph, and computing network failure probability for each node based on the corresponding individual failure probability, the downstream failure probability, and the upstream failure probability. Managing the network is based on the network failure probability of the assets.

Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product to manage a network comprising a plurality of interconnected components are described. The method includes obtaining a set of all the components that are part of the network over time, and identifying one or more repeating patterns of components among the set of all the components as corresponding lower-level definitions to generate a hierarchical set of all the components. The method also includes obtaining time-varying information regarding topology and operational values within the network, and creating a representation of the network at a set of times based on the hierarchical set of all the components and the time-varying information.

Abstract: Embodiments herein relate to improving a stochastic forecast for uncertain power generations and demands to quantify an effect on an electrical power grid. To improve the stochastic forecast, a method includes fitting marginal distributions to data of the uncertain power generation and demand by power generation and demand nodes of the electrical power grid. The power generation and demand nodes provide corresponding uncertain power generation and demand based on a renewable energy source. The method also includes determining a correlation structure between the power generation and demand nodes by transforming the data from marginal distributions to a second distribution and by fitting a multivariate time series on transformed data. The method also includes simulating multivariate stochastic forecast with an improved correlation structure.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method includes identifying a noise cluster, representing the noise cluster according to a variational model, projecting the variational model onto one or more corners to yield a projected noise cluster, and determining a computed noise for the projected noise cluster. Optionally, the noise cluster includes one or more noise cluster elements, and each of the noise cluster elements are expressed as one or more circuit element terms, according to a canonical form. Optionally, at least one of the corners is a bounding corner. For the bounding corner, the projected noise cluster is generated by maximizing the circuit element terms for those noise cluster elements that tend to increase noise, and by minimizing the circuit element terms for those noise cluster elements that tend to decrease noise, whereby noise is maximized for the canonical form. A corresponding computer program product and computer system are also disclosed.

Abstract: An example method comprises receiving an initial topology of an electrical, receiving a selection of a region of interest, determining one or more external equivalents of the electrical network that are external to the region of interest, determining one or more internal equivalents of the region of interest, calculating a sensitivity matrix based on electrical impedances of at least one of the one or more internal equivalents and based on an amount of power exchanged when in operation, determining a subset of the sensitivity matrix as indicating highly sensitive buses, receiving historical data regarding power flows, predicting power flow for each highly sensitive buses, comparing the predicted power flow to at least one predetermined threshold to determine possible network congestion, and generating a report regarding network congestion and locations of possible network congestion in the region of interest based on the comparison.

Abstract: A computer-implemented method includes identifying a noise cluster, representing the noise cluster according to a variational model, projecting the variational model onto one or more corners to yield a projected noise cluster, and determining a computed noise for the projected noise cluster. Optionally, the noise cluster includes one or more noise cluster elements, and each of the noise cluster elements are expressed as one or more circuit element terms, according to a canonical form. Optionally, at least one of the corners is a bounding corner. For the bounding corner, the projected noise cluster is generated by maximizing the circuit element terms for those noise cluster elements that tend to increase noise, and by minimizing the circuit element terms for those noise cluster elements that tend to decrease noise, whereby noise is maximized for the canonical form. A corresponding computer program product and computer system are also disclosed.

Abstract: A system and method of managing a network with assets are described. The method includes generating a directed graph with each of the assets represented as a node, determining individual failure probability of each node, computing downstream failure probability of each node according to an arrangement of the nodes in the directed graph, computing upstream failure probability of each node according to the arrangement of the nodes in directed graph, and computing network failure probability for each node based on the corresponding individual failure probability, the downstream failure probability, and the upstream failure probability. Managing the network is based on the network failure probability of the assets.

Abstract: A method, computer system, and computer program product. Weather forecast data is generated with respect to an area encompassing a location of a solar farm by a computer system. Solar power output by the solar farm is forecasted by the computer system based on the generated weather forecast data. Forecasted solar power output data is generated by the computer system based on the forecasted solar power output by the solar farm. A power grid operation, including one or both of a power grid balancing operation and a power grid optimization operation, is performed based on the forecasted solar power output data.

Abstract: A method, system, and computer program product to manage a network comprising a plurality of interconnected components are described. The method includes obtaining a set of all the components that are part of the network over time, and identifying one or more repeating patterns of components among the set of all the components as corresponding lower-level definitions to generate a hierarchical set of all the components. The method also includes obtaining time-varying information regarding topology and operational values within the network, and creating a representation of the network at a set of times based on the hierarchical set of all the components and the time-varying information.