Abstract: Embodiments provide probation officers with a recidivism probability score that is to be considered in conjunction with, or as a component of, compliance-based removal decisions. The recidivism score is computed based on a weighted combination of evidence-based factors that have been shown, through machine learning and other statistical analytics, to have a strong correlation with long-term recidivism rates. Examples of such evidence-based factors include the offender's Projected Date of IID Removal, Date of IID Install, Date of last Calibration, Violation Hour, Low BAC Non-Violation, BAC Violations, IID Violations, IID Service Lockout, IID Early Morning Violations, Violation Lockouts, and Circumvention Attempts Skipped Tests.