Abstract: There is provided a method of generating a machine learning (ML) model ensemble for computing likelihood of an entity failing to meet a target parameter, comprising: training ML-sub-models that each output sub-values for an input of raw data elements, training a principal ML model that outputs a value of an entity parameter corresponding to the target parameter for an input of the sub-values, using a training dataset including for sample entities, the ML-sub-values and corresponding entity parameters, inputting raw data elements associated with the entity into the ML-sub-models to obtain respective sub-values, in iterations: computing simulated adjustments to the sub-values to generate adjusted sub-values that are inputted into the principal ML model to obtain simulated values for the entity parameter, and generating a risk classifier that generates a likelihood of the entity failing to meet the target parameter according to an analysis of the simulated values for the entity parameter.