Abstract: A replacement system for a tire supporting a vehicle includes a processor in electronic communication with an electronic system of the vehicle, and an electronic memory capacity for storing tire identification information. The processor receives the tire identification information and vehicle data. A prediction model is in electronic communication with the processor and receives the tire identification information and the vehicle data. An identification of a replacement tread depth for the tire is included in the prediction model, and the model determines an estimation of remaining available distance for the tire to reach the replacement tread depth. The model estimates remaining available time to reach the replacement tread depth from the estimation of remaining available distance. A residual correction module optimizes the estimation of the remaining available time for the tire to reach the replacement tread depth, and a notification of a replacement lead time is generated by the system.