Abstract: A method can include receiving realizations of a model of a reservoir that includes at least one well where the realizations represent uncertainty in a multidimensional space; selecting a portion of the realizations in a reduced dimensional space to preserve an amount of the uncertainty; optimizing an objective function based at least in part on the selected portion of the realizations; outputting parameter values for the optimized objective function; and generating at least a portion of a field operations plan based at least in part on at least a portion of the parameter values.

Abstract: A method can include receiving realizations of a model of a reservoir that includes at least one well where the realizations represent uncertainty in a multidimensional space; selecting a portion of the realizations in a reduced dimensional space to preserve an amount of the uncertainty; optimizing an objective function based at least in part on the selected portion of the realizations; outputting parameter values for the optimized objective function; and generating at least a portion of a field operations plan based at least in part on at least a portion of the parameter values.

Abstract: Methods may include creating a fracture set from a collection of intersecting fractures in a borehole image log recorded within a subterranean formation; classifying the fracture set into groups of fully and partially intersecting fractures; calculating one or more of the elongation ratio and the rotation angle of the partially intersecting fractures; determining a probability of full intersection of fractures from the fracture set; and determining a fracture size or a parametric distribution of fracture sizes from the fracture set using the calculated one or more of the elongation ratio and the rotation angle and the determined probability of full intersection of formation fractures within the borehole.

Abstract: Methods may include creating a fracture set from a collection of intersecting fractures in a borehole image log recorded within a subterranean formation; classifying the fracture set into groups of fully and partially intersecting fractures; calculating one or more of the elongation ratio and the rotation angle of the partially intersecting fractures; determining a probability of full intersection of fractures from the fracture set; and determining a fracture size or a parametric distribution of fracture sizes from the fracture set using the calculated one or more of the elongation ratio and the rotation angle and the determined probability of full intersection of formation fractures within the borehole

Abstract: Managing oilfield operations include obtaining a subsurface model including a fracture design model having an fracture property with an uncertain value. A set of representative values that represent uncertainty in the fracture property is obtained and used to solve an oilfield optimization problem with a control variable to obtain a solution. The solution includes an optimal value for the control variable. Based on the solution, an oilfield design is generated and stored.

Abstract: A method for estimating a value of a kerogen property in a subsurface formation where the value of the kerogen property is unknown. The method includes: measuring spectral intensity values over an infrared (IR) spectral range for a selected sample from the subsurface formation; determining a range of values representing the measured spectral intensity values corresponding to a vibrational mode attributable to kerogen in the selected sample, the range of values including values representing uncertainty in the measured spectral intensity over the portion of the spectral range; and inputting values from the range of values into a stochastic or simple regression model to determine an estimated value of the kerogen property in the selected sample.

Abstract: A method can include receiving realizations of a model of a reservoir that includes at least one well where the realizations represent uncertainty in a multidimensional space; selecting a portion of the realizations in a reduced dimensional space to preserve an amount of the uncertainty; optimizing an objective function based at least in part on the selected portion of the realizations; outputting parameter values for the optimized objective function; and generating at least a portion of a field operations plan based at least in part on at least a portion of the parameter values.

Abstract: A method for estimating a value of a kerogen property in a subsurface formation where the value of the kerogen property is unknown. The method includes: measuring spectral intensity values over an infrared (IR) spectral range for a selected sample from the subsurface formation; determining a range of values representing the measured spectral intensity values corresponding to a vibrational mode attributable to kerogen in the selected sample, the range of values including values representing uncertainty in the measured spectral intensity over the portion of the spectral range; and inputting values from the range of values into a stochastic or simple regression model to determine an estimated value of the kerogen property in the selected sample.

Abstract: A Bayesian methodology is described for designing experiments or surveys that are improved by utilizing available prior information to guide the design toward maximally reducing posterior uncertainties in the interpretation of the future experiment. Synthetic geophysical tomography examples are used to illustrate benefits of this approach.

Abstract: Apparatus and methods for controlling equipment to recover hydrocarbons from a reservoir including constructing a collection of reservoir models wherein each model represents a realization of the reservoir and comprises a subterranean formation measurement, estimating the measurement for the model collection, and controlling a device wherein the controlling comprises the measurement estimate wherein the constructing, estimating, and/or controlling includes a rolling flexible approach and/or a nearest neighbor approach.

Abstract: Apparatus and methods of categorizing a subterranean formation including collecting data related to the formation, performing an algorithm comprising guided Bayesian survey design, identifying data observations to collect, and collecting additional data observations related to the formation. In some embodiments, the performing comprises forming a matrix or loading a matrix or both. Apparatus and methods of categorizing a subterranean formation including collecting data related to the formation, performing an algorithm comprising guided Bayesian survey design, identifying data observations to use, and processing the data observations wherein the observations require less processing time than if no algorithm were performed.

Abstract: Managing oilfield operations include obtaining a subsurface model including a fracture design model having an fracture property with an uncertain value. A set of representative values that represent uncertainty in the fracture property is obtained and used to solve an oilfield optimization problem with a control variable to obtain a solution. The solution includes an optimal value for the control variable. Based on the solution, an oilfield design is generated and stored.

Abstract: The present invention relates to a method and system for quantifying the value-of-information (VoI) of a proposed and future well test where multiple uncertainties associated with the reservoir properties and/or measurement and/or interpretation may be present.

Abstract: A method, a system, and a computer readable medium for analyzing a wavelet within a seismic signal are described herein. The method includes receiving a seismic signal from a seismic receiver, such as a geophone, and using a Bayesian probability method to determine an associated arrival time for the wavelet and determine an uncertainty for the arrival time of the wavelet. The method has application in hydraulic fracturing monitoring operations and in spatially mapping fractures.

Abstract: Complex-valued sensitivity data structures corresponding to respective candidate survey settings are provided, where the sensitivity data structures relate measurement data associated with a target structure to at least one parameter of a model of the target structure. Based on the sensitivity data structures, a subset of the candidate survey settings is selected according to a criterion for enhancing resolution in characterizing the target structure.

Abstract: Apparatus and methods of categorizing a subterranean formation including collecting data related to the formation, performing an algorithm comprising guided Bayesian survey design, identifying data observations to collect, and collecting additional data observations related to the formation. In some embodiments, the performing comprises forming a matrix or loading a matrix or both. Apparatus and methods of categorizing a subterranean formation including collecting data related to the formation, performing an algorithm comprising guided Bayesian survey design, identifying data observations to use, and processing the data observations wherein the observations require less processing time than if no algorithm were performed.

Abstract: Apparatus and methods for hydrocarbon reservoir characterization and recovery including collecting geological data relating to a subteranean formation, forming initial parameters using the data, performing a pricipal component analysis of the parameters to create a model, and performing history matching using the model. In some embodiments, the principal component analysis is linear principal component analysis or kernal principal component analysis.

Abstract: An objective function is based on covariance of differences in predicted data over multiple sets of candidate model parameterizations that characterize a target structure. A computation is performed with respect to the objective function to produce an output. An action selected from the following can be performed based on the output of the computation: selecting at least one design parameter relating to performing a survey acquisition that is one of an active source survey acquisition and a non-seismic passive acquisition, and selecting a data processing strategy.

Abstract: Apparatus and methods for controlling equipment to recover hydrocarbons from a reservoir including constructing a collection of reservoir models wherein each model represents a realization of the reservoir and comprises a subterranean formation measurement, estimating the measurement for the model collection, and controlling a device wherein the controlling comprises the measurement estimate wherein the constructing, estimating, and/or controlling includes a rolling flexible approach and/or a nearest neighbor approach.

Abstract: A system for automatically optimizing a Field Development Plan (FDP) for an oil or gas field uses a fast analytic reservoir simulator to dynamically model oil or gas production from the entire reservoir over time in an accurate and rapid manner. An objective function defining a Figure of Merit (FoM) for candidate FDPs is maximized, using an optimization algorithm, to determine an optimized FDP in light of physical, engineering, operational, legal and engineering constraints. The objective function for the Figure of Merit, e.g., net present value (NPV) or total production for a given period of time, relies on a production forecast from the fast analytic reservoir simulator for the entire FDP.