Abstract: The disclosed embodiments provide a system for predicting successful outcomes. During operation, the system determines interaction features characterizing interaction between a moderator of a job and one or more applicants for the job. Next, the system applies a machine learning model to the interaction features to produce a score representing a likelihood of a positive outcome for the job. The system then applies a threshold to the score to generate a predicted outcome for the job. Finally, the system outputs the predicted outcome in association with the job.