Abstract: The demand-side platform (DSP) is a technological ingredient that fits into the larger real-time-bidding (RTB) ecosystem. DSPs enable advertisers to purchase ad impressions from a wide range of ad slots, generally via a second-price auction mechanism. In this aspect, predicting the auction winning price notably enhances the decision for placing the right bid value to win the auction and helps with the advertiser's campaign planning and traffic reallocation between campaigns. This is a difficult task because the observed winning price distribution is biased due to censorship; the DSP only observes the win price in the case of winning the auction. For losing bids, the win price remains censored. In this invention, we generalize the winning price model to incorporate a gradient boosting framework adapted to learn from both observed and censored data. This yields a boost in predictive performance in comparison to classic linear censored regression.

Abstract: The demand-side platform (DSP) is a technological ingredient that fits into the larger real-time-bidding (RTB) ecosystem. DSPs enable advertisers to purchase ad impressions from a wide range of ad slots, generally via a second-price auction mechanism. In this aspect, predicting the auction winning price notably enhances the decision for placing the right bid value to win the auction and helps with the advertiser's campaign planning and traffic reallocation between campaigns. This is a difficult task because the observed winning price distribution is biased due to censorship; the DSP only observes the win price in the case of winning the auction. For losing bids, the win price remains censored. In this invention, we generalize the winning price model to incorporate a gradient boosting framework adapted to learn from both observed and censored data. This yields a boost in predictive performance in comparison to classic linear censored regression.

Abstract: The demand-side platform (DSP) is a technological ingredient that fits into the larger real-time-bidding (RTB) ecosystem. DSPs enable advertisers to purchase ad impressions from a wide range of ad slots, generally via a second-price auction mechanism. In this aspect, predicting the auction winning price notably enhances the decision for placing the right bid value to win the auction and helps with the advertiser's campaign planning and traffic reallocation between campaigns. This is a difficult task because the observed winning price distribution is biased due to censorship; the DSP only observes the win price in the case of winning the auction. For losing bids, the win price remains censored. In this invention, we generalize the winning price model to incorporate a gradient boosting framework adapted to learn from both observed and censored data. This yields a boost in predictive performance in comparison to classic linear censored regression.