Abstract: Embodiments relate to leads and polynyas forecasting. Initially observed ice forecast data is obtained for a geographic area of interest, which is then used to generate an ice grid based on the observed ice data, where the ice grid includes grid cells that map polar regions. At this stage, daily opening rates are determined based on the ice grid, where each daily opening rate indicates an opening speed of a corresponding ice event, and daily convergence strain rates are determined based on the ice grid, where each daily convergence strain rate indicates a convergence of the corresponding ice event. For each day, a daily opening rate is weighted and then adjusting by a daily convergence strain rate. A forecasted opening rate on a target date is determined based on the weighted, adjusted daily opening rates. Predicted openings of the polar region can be rendered based on the forecasted opening rate.

Abstract: Embodiments relate to leads and polynyas forecasting. Initially observed ice forecast data is obtained for a geographic area of interest, which is then used to generate an ice grid based on the observed ice data, where the ice grid includes grid cells that map polar regions. At this stage, daily opening rates are determined based on the ice grid, where each daily opening rate indicates an opening speed of a corresponding ice event, and daily convergence strain rates are determined based on the ice grid, where each daily convergence strain rate indicates a convergence of the corresponding ice event. For each day, a daily opening rate is weighted and then adjusting by a daily convergence strain rate. A forecasted opening rate on a target date is determined based on the weighted, adjusted daily opening rates. Predicted openings of the polar region can be rendered based on the forecasted opening rate.

Abstract: A system and method for estimating ocean surface height and currents at points within a geographic grid. The method includes receiving a user selected location, receiving bathymetric data from a global database, determining whether the user selected location corresponds to a land location or a water covered location by referring to the bathymetric data. If the user selected location is a water-covered location, current and ocean height deviation are estimated for the user selected location. If the user selected location is a land location, current and ocean height deviation for the closest grid point that is water covered are estimated. In exemplary embodiments, the system is rapidly relocatable, has worldwide coverage, and can run on a PC.

Abstract: A system and method for estimating ocean surface height and currents at points within a geographic grid. The method includes receiving bathymetric data from a global database, generating atmospheric forcing information based on a hurricane model, and estimating current and ocean height deviation for at least one grid point. In exemplary embodiments, the system is rapidly relocatable, has worldwide coverage, and can run on a PC at user selected frequencies and worldwide locations.

Abstract: A system and method for estimating ocean surface height and currents at points within a geographic grid. The method includes receiving a user selected location, receiving bathymetric data from a global database, determining whether the user selected location corresponds to a land location or a water covered location by referring to the bathymetric data. If the user selected location is a water-covered location, current and ocean height deviation are estimated for the user selected location. If the user selected location is a land location, current and ocean height deviation for the closest grid point that is water covered are estimated. In exemplary embodiments, the system is rapidly relocatable, has worldwide coverage, and can run on a PC.

Abstract: A system and method for estimating ocean surface height and currents at points within a geographic grid. The method includes receiving bathymetric data from a global database, generating atmospheric forcing information based on a hurricane model, and estimating current and ocean height deviation for at least one grid point. In exemplary embodiments, the system is rapidly relocatable, has worldwide coverage, and can run on a PC at user selected frequencies and worldwide locations.