Abstract: A method to predict equipment life is disclosed. The method includes making available a set of input parameters, and defining a model of a health of the equipment as a function of the set of input parameters. The method continues with receiving at least one signal representative of a respective one of an actual sensor output relating to an actual operation attribute margin of the equipment, predicting a remaining useful equipment life based upon a sequence of outputs of the model of the health of the equipment, and generating a signal corresponding to the remaining useful equipment life.

Abstract: A method and system for fusing a collection of classifiers used for an automated insurance underwriting system and/or its quality assurance is described. Specifically, the outputs of a collection of classifiers are fused. The fusion of the data will typically result in some amount of consensus and some amount of conflict among the classifiers. The consensus will be measured and used to estimate a degree of confidence in the fused decisions. Based on the decision and degree of confidence of the fusion and the decision and degree of confidence of the production decision engine, a comparison module may then be used to identify cases for audit, cases for augmenting the training/test sets for re-tuning production decision engine, cases for review, or may simply trigger a record of its occurrence for tracking purposes. The fusion can compensate for the potential correlation among the classifiers.

Abstract: A method for analyzing vibration including: acquiring a vibration signal; isolating a vibration signal event in the acquired signal; determining a frequency of a damped sinusoid of the vibration signal event, wherein the damped sinusoid characterizes the vibration signal event, and using the characteristic damped sinusoid to identify an occurrence of the vibration signal event in another vibration signal.

Abstract: A system and method for tuning a raw mix proportioning controller used in a cement plant. A fuzzy logic supervisory controller tracks the performance of a cement plant simulator to target set points for attaining a correct mix and composition of raw materials. A genetic algorithm adjusts the fuzzy logic supervisory controller's performance by adjusting its parameters in a sequential order of significance.

Abstract: A method for predicting a time to failure of a component in a system is presented. The method comprises obtaining a set of data measurements related to the component. The set of data measurements are representative of a plurality of parameters including a plurality of leading parameters. The method comprises generating a prediction model based upon the leading parameters considered in combination. The prediction model is then used to predict the time to failure of the component based on a set of real-time measurements, wherein the plurality of parameters are processed to predict the time to failure for the component. Finally, a confidence level for the predicted time to failure is determined based upon the plurality of parameters.

Abstract: The systems and methods of the invention are directed to portfolio optimization and related techniques. For example, the invention provides a method for multi-objective portfolio optimization for use in investment decisions based on competing objectives and a plurality of constraints constituting a portfolio problem, the method comprising: generating an initial population of solutions of portfolio allocations; performing a first multi-objective process, based on the initial population and the competing objectives, to generate a first interim efficient frontier; performing a second multi-objective process, based on the initial population and the competing objectives, to generate a second interim efficient frontier; and fusing the first interim efficient frontier with the second interim efficient frontier to create an augmented efficient frontier for use in investment decisioning.

Abstract: A method and system for designing a neural network classifier and such a neural network for an automated insurance underwriting system and/or its quality assurance is described. While the design method is demonstrated for quality assurance of automated insurance underwriting, it is broadly applicable to diverse decision-making applications in business, commercial, and manufacturing processes. Specifically, multi-class classification problems are solved by decomposing a multi-class classifier into multiple binary-classifiers, which reduces the complexity of the neural network structure, thus reducing the training time and improving the classification performance. Furthermore, the invention also describes a method to incorporate the domain knowledge into the neural network classifier. Both methods work to improve the performance of the classifier.

Abstract: A system, process and computer program product for underwriting a financial risk instrument application represented by at least one risk attribute is provided. Decision engines examine the at least one risk attribute associated with the financial risk instrument application and assign the application to one of a predetermined set of risk classes. A fusion engine compares the risk classes assigned by each of the decision engines and fuses the assigned risk classes into an aggregated result representative of the risk of the financial risk instrument application. The fusion engine includes a first multi-classifier fusion module that uses an associative function to fuse the assigned risk classes into a first aggregated result and a second multi-classifier fusion that uses a non-associative function to fuse the assigned risk classes into a second aggregated result.

Abstract: A method and system for automating the decision-making process used in underwriting of insurance applications is described. While this approach is demonstrated for insurance underwriting, it is broadly applicable to diverse decision-making applications in business, commercial, and manufacturing processes. A structured methodology is used based on a multi-model parallel network of multivariate adaptive regression splines (“MARS”) models to identify the relevant set of variables and their parameters, and build a framework capable of providing automated decisions. The parameters of the MARS-based decision system are estimated from a database consisting of a set of applications with reference decisions against each. Cross-validation and development/hold-out combined with re-sampling techniques are used to build a robust set of models that minimize the error between the automated system's decision and the expert human underwriter.

Abstract: A risk classification technique that exploits the existing risk structure of the decision problem in order to produce risk categorizations for new candidates is described. The technique makes use of a set of candidates for which risk categories have already been assigned (in the case of insurance underwriting, for example, this would pertain to the premium class assigned to an application). Using this set of labeled candidates, the technique produces two subsets for each risk category: the Pareto-best subset and the Pareto-worst subset by using Dominance. These two subsets can be seen as representing the least risky and the most risky candidates within a given risk category. If there are a sufficient number of candidates in these two subsets, then the candidates in these two subsets can be seen as samples from the two hypothetical risk surfaces in the feature space that bound the risk category from above and below respectively.

Abstract: An outlier detector that exploits the existing risk structure of the decision problem in order to discover risk assignments that are globally inconsistent is described. The technique works on a set of candidates for which risk categories have already been assigned. In the case of insurance underwriting, the invention pertains to the premium class assigned to an application. For this set of labeled candidates, the system finds all such pairs of applications belonging to different risk categories, which violate the principle of dominance. The invention matches the risk ordering of the applications with the ordering imposed by dominance and uses any mismatch during the process to identify applications that were potentially assigned incorrect risk categories.

Abstract: A method and system for fusing a collection of classifiers used for an automated insurance underwriting system and/or its quality assurance is described. Specifically, the outputs of a collection of classifiers are fused. The fusion of the data will typically result in some amount of consensus and some amount of conflict among the classifiers. The consensus will be measured and used to estimate a degree of confidence in the fused decisions. Based on the decision and degree of confidence of the fusion and the decision and degree of confidence of the production decision engine, a comparison module may then be used to identify cases for audit, cases for augmenting the training/test sets for re-tuning production decision engine, cases for review, or may simply trigger a record of its occurrence for tracking purposes. The fusion can compensate for the potential correlation among the classifiers.

Abstract: A system and method for tuning a raw mix proportioning controller used in a cement plant. A fuzzy logic supervisory controller tracks the performance of a cement plant simulator to target set points for attaining a correct mix and composition of raw materials. A genetic algorithm adjusts the fuzzy logic supervisory controller's performance by adjusting its parameters in a sequential order of significance.

Abstract: An automatic train handling controller. In one embodiment, there is disclosed a system and method for tracking a velocity profile in a rail-based transportation system. A fuzzy logic controller is used to ensure that a train simulator complies to the velocity profile over a specified track profile while providing a smooth ride. A safety constraint enforcer is used to minimize sudden slack movements by ensuring that the control action provided by the fuzzy logic controller is kept in compliance with a set of predetermined safety constraints. In a second embodiment, there is an automatic train handling controller that smoothly manages the slack of the couplers while keeping the train within prescribed speed limits over a varying terrain.

Abstract: A method and system for automating a process for valuing a property that produces an estimated value of a subject property, and a reliability assessment of the estimated value. The process is a generative artificial intelligence method that trains a fuzzy-neural network using a subset of cases from a case-base, and produces a run-time system to provide an estimate of the subject property's value. A network-based implementation of fuzzy inference is based on a system that implements a fuzzy system as a five-layer neural network so that the structure of the network can be interpreted in terms of high-level rules. The neural network is trained automatically from data. IF/THEN rules are used to map inputs to outputs by a fuzzy logic inference system. Different models for the same problem can be obtained by changing the inputs to the neuro-fuzzy network, or by varying its architecture.

Abstract: A system and method for tuning a raw mix proportioning controller used in a cement plant. A fuzzy logic supervisory controller tracks the performance of a cement plant simulator to target set points for attaining a correct mix and composition of raw materials. A genetic algorithm adjusts the fuzzy logic supervisory controller's performance by adjusting its parameters in a sequential order of significance.

Abstract: A system and method for diagnosing and validating a machine with waveform data generated therefrom. Historical waveform data are obtained from machines having known faults along with corresponding actions for repairing the machines and are used to develop fault classification rules. The fault classification rules are stored in a diagnostic knowledge database. The database of classification rules are used to diagnose new waveform data from a machine having an unknown fault.

Abstract: A system for at least a partial underwriting of insurance policies is described. Various rules are created, along with a degree of satisfaction for each rule. Rules may be directed toward various insurance underwriting components (e.g., cholesterol levels, blood pressure, etc.). Based on the degree of satisfaction for each rule, a component may be assigned to a category. Based on the category for each component, the insurance application may be assigned an underwriting category.

Abstract: A process for at least a partial underwriting of insurance policies is described. Based on the similarity to previous insurance applications, a decision on the current request for underwriting may be made. This decision-making process represents an analogical approach to the placement of an insurance application to an underwriting category, whereby a given insurance application request is compared to previous requests.

Abstract: A process for at least a partial underwriting of insurance policies is described. Various rules are created, along with a degree of satisfaction for each rule. Rules may be directed toward various insurance underwriting components (e.g., cholesterol levels, blood pressure, etc.). Based on the degree of satisfaction for each rule, a component may be assigned to a category. Based on the category for each component, the insurance application may be assigned an underwriting category.