Abstract: An online system calculates bids for content items to display to users based on the value of a product described in the content item and the likelihood of a viewing user purchasing the product. The online system identifies an impression opportunity for an ad request and computes an expected value of the conversion and a likelihood of the conversion. The online system computes a bid amount based on the expected conversion value and the likelihood of the conversion. Bids based on the value of the conversion allow a third party system offering the product to optimize for the value of each conversion instead of the conversion rate.

Abstract: An online system calculates bids for content items to display to users based on the value of a product described in the content item and the likelihood of a viewing user purchasing the product. The online system identifies an impression opportunity for an ad request and computes an expected value of the conversion and a likelihood of the conversion. The online system computes a bid amount based on the expected conversion value and the likelihood of the conversion. Bids based on the value of the conversion allow a third party system offering the product to optimize for the value of each conversion instead of the conversion rate.

Abstract: An online system calculates bids for content items to display to users based on the value of a product described in the content item and the likelihood of a viewing user purchasing the product. The online system identifies an impression opportunity for an ad request and computes an expected value of the conversion and a likelihood of the conversion. The online system computes a bid amount based on the expected conversion value and the likelihood of the conversion. Bids based on the value of the conversion allow a third party system offering the product to optimize for the value of each conversion instead of the conversion rate.

Abstract: An online system receives content items, for example, from content providers and sends the content items to users. The online system uses machine-learning models for predicting whether a user is likely to interact with a content item. The online system uses stored user interactions to measure the model performance to determine whether the model can be used online. The online system determines a baseline model using stored user interactions. The online system determines whether the machine-learning model performs better than the baseline model or worse for each content provider. The online system determines whether to approve the model for online use based on an aggregate normalized performance metric, for example, a metric representing the fraction of content providers for which the model performs better than the baseline. If the online system determines to reject the model, the online system retrains the model.

Abstract: The present invention provides, in at least one embodiment, a system, and method for detecting first party fraud. When a fraudulent consumer fills out a current application for a discounted commodity, such as cell phone, the system searches for prior applications with the same or similar (i.e., matching) identity information. Based on these matches (i.e., identity linking keys), the system generates marker variables indicative of first party fraud. For example, markers can be the number of matching applications filed for a commodity within a given time period. Lastly, the system outputs a risk score based on the markers. The risk score represents the chance that the current application represents first party fraud.