Abstract: Embodiments relate to technological systems and methods for determining return on investment (ROI) of a program (e.g., medical intervention), which may be used to retrospectively or prospectively evaluate the value that the program delivered or will deliver to a patient (e.g., a participant in a program). In some embodiments, a first set of training data associated with a patient population is retrieved. The training data may be classified as belonging to a patient treatment group including patients participating in a program or a patient control group including patients not participating in the program. A plurality of base machine learning models may be trained using a dual-training process to generate both counterfactual values and ROI predictions associated with patients. A global machine learning model may then be trained on the counterfactual values and ROI predictions output by the base machine learning models.

Abstract: Disclosed herein are system, method, and computer program product embodiments for creating and utilizing machine learning models to generate a provider performance index. In some embodiments, a first and second target may be selected. The first and second targets may respectfully include target values. First and second adjusted target values may be determined by combining the first and second target values with first and second external weights. The external weights may be generated by respective first and second machine learning models. The machine learning models may correspond to the respective targets. First and second error values may be determined based on differences between respective target and adjusted target values. The error values may be normalized and combined to generate an index value.

Abstract: Disclosed herein are system, method, and computer program product embodiments for creating and utilizing machine learning models to generate a provider performance index. In some embodiments, a first and second target may be selected. The first and second targets may respectfully include target values. First and second adjusted target values may be determined by combining the first and second target values with first and second external weights. The external weights may be generated by respective first and second machine learning models. The machine learning models may correspond to the respective targets. First and second error values may be determined based on differences between respective target and adjusted target values. The error values may be normalized and combined to generate an index value.