Abstract: Embodiments of an apparatus and method for assessing non-kinetic weapon performance for negating missile threats are generally described herein. In some embodiments, vulnerabilities of missile threats and techniques for negating the threats are identified. A probability of negation associated with an effectiveness of each of the techniques against the vulnerabilities is calculated. The calculated probability of negation of each technique against each vulnerability are conditioned at a plurality of times associated with a plurality of asymmetric missile defense (AMD) layer elements to produce temporal level probabilities of negation. Each temporal level probabilities of negation are conditioned based on a probability of validation of deployment and a probability of verification of mitigation to produce a battle damage assessment probability of negation.

Abstract: A method for accurately determining whether a response tool will be effective for responding to a given enemy threat object. Embodiments described herein provide a method and system for responding to a threat object, for example, negating missile threats. Embodiments may include validating effectiveness of a response to the threat object. Other embodiments may include verifying the continued effectiveness of a response to the threat object. Further embodiments may include providing feedback to re-perform the method for responding to the threat object. The system may include a mathematical method, and associated algorithms, to assess, in an automated fashion, the performance of non-kinetic techniques with respect to negating the threat object.

Abstract: A method of rapidly producing a new cyber response tool (e.g., in near-real-time) by matching vulnerabilities of enemy threats (e.g., a missile and/or a tank) to corresponding portions of other response tools that effectively exploit the matched vulnerability. An iterative framework may be utilized to repeatedly prioritize a set of cyber response tools based on a corresponding probability of success. For example, a computer or computer network may implement the iterative framework to carry out the probability computation and corresponding cyber response tool prioritization. If a total probability of success is below a given threshold (e.g., 95%), then creation of one or more new cyber response tools may be initiated. The probability of success may be a function of time (e.g., ten minutes before an expected launch) and/or a function of a phase of a lifecycle of the enemy threat (e.g., a launch phase).

Abstract: A method of rapidly producing a new cyber response tool (e.g., in near-real-time) by matching vulnerabilities of enemy threats (e.g., a missile and/or a tank) to corresponding portions of other response tools that effectively exploit the matched vulnerability. An iterative framework may be utilized to repeatedly prioritize a set of cyber response tools based on a corresponding probability of success. For example, a computer or computer network may implement the iterative framework to carry out the probability computation and corresponding cyber response tool prioritization. If a total probability of success is below a given threshold (e.g., 95%), then creation of one or more new cyber response tools may be initiated. The probability of success may be a function of time (e.g., ten minutes before an expected launch) and/or a function of a phase of a lifecycle of the enemy threat (e.g., a launch phase).