Patents by Inventor Robin Hanson

Robin Hanson has filed for patents to protect the following inventions. This listing includes patent applications that are pending as well as patents that have already been granted by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO).

  • Publication number: 20250165997
    Abstract: A prediction market apparatus may include a processor and a memory. The processor may be configured to provide a transaction interface, administrative controls operable to provide for adjustment of a market fulcrum, and a forecasting system, and display in the transaction interface one of a quantity of stock, a currency, points, a value of stock, and tokens associated with a single action. The forecasting system may be configured to determine a forecast based on the single action and the one of the quantity of stock, the currency, points, the value of stock, and the tokens associated with the single action.
    Type: Application
    Filed: January 17, 2025
    Publication date: May 22, 2025
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
  • Patent number: 12211057
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: September 29, 2023
    Date of Patent: January 28, 2025
    Assignee: CRG PREDICTIVE INTELLIGENCE, INC.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
  • Publication number: 20240029090
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Application
    Filed: September 29, 2023
    Publication date: January 25, 2024
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
  • Patent number: 11775991
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: October 11, 2021
    Date of Patent: October 3, 2023
    Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
  • Publication number: 20220028000
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Application
    Filed: October 11, 2021
    Publication date: January 27, 2022
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
  • Patent number: 11151588
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: September 6, 2019
    Date of Patent: October 19, 2021
    Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
  • Publication number: 20200005341
    Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.
    Type: Application
    Filed: September 6, 2019
    Publication date: January 2, 2020
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
  • Patent number: 10430813
    Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: November 15, 2016
    Date of Patent: October 1, 2019
    Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.
    Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam J. Parod, David R. Savage
  • Publication number: 20170061453
    Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.
    Type: Application
    Filed: November 15, 2016
    Publication date: March 2, 2017
    Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Robin HANSON, Brad Wilson, Adam J. PAROD, David R. SAVAGE
  • Patent number: 9501794
    Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: October 29, 2013
    Date of Patent: November 22, 2016
    Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.
    Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam J Parod, David Savage
  • Publication number: 20140052603
    Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.
    Type: Application
    Filed: October 29, 2013
    Publication date: February 20, 2014
    Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam J. Parod, David Savage
  • Patent number: 8612331
    Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.
    Type: Grant
    Filed: October 21, 2011
    Date of Patent: December 17, 2013
    Assignee: Consensus Point, Inc.
    Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam Parod, David Savage
  • Publication number: 20120101933
    Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.
    Type: Application
    Filed: October 21, 2011
    Publication date: April 26, 2012
    Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam Parod, David Savage