Patents by Inventor Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson has filed for patents to protect the following inventions. This listing includes patent applications that are pending as well as patents that have already been granted by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO).
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Publication number: 20250165997Abstract: A prediction market apparatus may include a processor and a memory. The processor may be configured to provide a transaction interface, administrative controls operable to provide for adjustment of a market fulcrum, and a forecasting system, and display in the transaction interface one of a quantity of stock, a currency, points, a value of stock, and tokens associated with a single action. The forecasting system may be configured to determine a forecast based on the single action and the one of the quantity of stock, the currency, points, the value of stock, and the tokens associated with the single action.Type: ApplicationFiled: January 17, 2025Publication date: May 22, 2025Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
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Patent number: 12211057Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: GrantFiled: September 29, 2023Date of Patent: January 28, 2025Assignee: CRG PREDICTIVE INTELLIGENCE, INC.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
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Publication number: 20240029090Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: ApplicationFiled: September 29, 2023Publication date: January 25, 2024Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
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Patent number: 11775991Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: GrantFiled: October 11, 2021Date of Patent: October 3, 2023Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
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Publication number: 20220028000Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: ApplicationFiled: October 11, 2021Publication date: January 27, 2022Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
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Patent number: 11151588Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: GrantFiled: September 6, 2019Date of Patent: October 19, 2021Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin Hanson
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Publication number: 20200005341Abstract: Systems and methods for future trends forecasting based on prediction market probability estimates. Alternative simulated starting values for prediction markets are used in order to determine the preferred starting values for prediction markets to use in volumetric forecasting. A user interface that facilitates using prediction market probability estimates to determine future trends forecasts is described herein.Type: ApplicationFiled: September 6, 2019Publication date: January 2, 2020Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Kevin Bradley Marsh, Brad Wilson, Robin HANSON
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Patent number: 10430813Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: GrantFiled: November 15, 2016Date of Patent: October 1, 2019Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam J. Parod, David R. Savage
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Publication number: 20170061453Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: ApplicationFiled: November 15, 2016Publication date: March 2, 2017Applicant: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Robin HANSON, Brad Wilson, Adam J. PAROD, David R. SAVAGE
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Patent number: 9501794Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: GrantFiled: October 29, 2013Date of Patent: November 22, 2016Assignee: CONSENSUS POINT, INC.Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam J Parod, David Savage
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Publication number: 20140052603Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: ApplicationFiled: October 29, 2013Publication date: February 20, 2014Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam J. Parod, David Savage
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Patent number: 8612331Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: GrantFiled: October 21, 2011Date of Patent: December 17, 2013Assignee: Consensus Point, Inc.Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam Parod, David Savage
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Publication number: 20120101933Abstract: Systems and methods for operating a prediction market, including methods for finding disagreement with the consensus among participants and methods for managing liquidity. Also, an interactive user interface to facilitate investing, with one user action, in a prediction market.Type: ApplicationFiled: October 21, 2011Publication date: April 26, 2012Inventors: Robin Hanson, Brad Wilson, Adam Parod, David Savage