Abstract: A foodborne illness risk model determines a relationship between health department inspection data and various factors known to contribute to the risk of foodborne illness. The model may identify a comparative risk value for foodborne illness outbreaks for one or more pathogens at a food establishment based on the food establishment's inspection data. The model may also identify a set of indicative violations more likely to be recorded at outbreak restaurants than non-outbreak restaurants. The model may also develop an outbreak profile continuum based on the number of indicative violations. The model may further determine a position on an outbreak profile continuum for a particular food establishment based on the food establishment's inspection data.