Abstract: Exemplary systems for identifying hybrids for use in a plant breeding pipeline are disclosed. One exemplary system includes a computing device configured to access phenotypic data related to a pool of hybrids from a data structure and determine a prediction score for each of the hybrids in the pool of hybrids based on the accessed phenotypic data. The prediction score is indicative of a probability of selection and/or a probability of success of the hybrid based on historical data. The computing device is also configured to select a group of hybrids from the pool of hybrids based on the prediction score, identify a set of hybrids, from the selected group of hybrids, based on one or more factors associated with the hybrids, and then direct the set of hybrids to a validation phase of the plant breeding pipeline for planting and/or testing.

Abstract: A routing processor implements a multi-stage prescriptive routing model engine based on harvest input data relating to the harvesting of crops at a plurality of locations by a plurality of combines and based on a harvest characteristic representing an attribute of the crops to be harvested by the combines. The multi-stage prescriptive routing model engine generates a combine routing program prescribing the movement of each combine between the locations and includes a demand stage configured to identify combine harvesting demand as a function of the harvest input data and the harvest characteristic and a scheduling stage configured to generate the combine routing program as a function of the harvesting demand.

Abstract: In one embodiment a finite rank deep kernel learning method includes: receiving a training dataset; forming a plurality of training data subsets from the training dataset; for each respective training data subset of the plurality of training data subsets: calculating a subset-specific loss based on a loss function and the respective training data subset; and optimizing a model based on the subset-specific loss; determining a set of embeddings based on the optimized model; determining, based on the set of embeddings, a plurality of dot kernels; combining the plurality of dot kernels to form a composite kernel for a Gaussian process; receiving live data from an application; and predicting a plurality of values and a plurality of uncertainties associated with the plurality of values simultaneously using the composite kernel.

Abstract: Exemplary systems and methods are disclosed for allocating resources in a breeding pipeline to multiple origins. One exemplary method includes accessing a data structure including data representative of multiple origins, in which the data includes, for each of the multiple origins, a trait performance expression or genotypic component information. The exemplary method further includes determining a resource allocation, which allocates n resources among the multiple origins based on a probability associated with the trait performance expressions and/or the genotypic components for the origins, and then allocating the n resources in the breeding pipeline for the multiple origins, based on the determined resource allocation.

Abstract: Forecasts are provided based on dynamic model selection for different sets of time series. A model comprises a transformation and a prediction algorithm. Given a time series, a transformation is selected for the time series and a prediction algorithm is selected to make a forecast based on the transformed time series. Sets of time series are distinguished from each other based on diverse sparsities, temporal scales and other time series attributes. A model is dynamically selected based on time series attributes to increase forecasting accuracy and decrease forecasting computation time. The dynamic model selection is based on the creation of a meta-model from historical sets of historical time series.

Abstract: In one embodiment, a device receives path telemetry data for one or more network paths in a network over which traffic for an online application is conveyed. The device computes time series dynamics for the path telemetry data. The device determines a mapping of the time series dynamics to application experience metrics for the online application. The device routes traffic associated with the online application based on the mapping.

Abstract: Systems and methods for forecasting future values of data streams are disclosed. One example method may include receiving information characterizing each of a plurality of forecasting models, retrieving historical data for each of a plurality of data streams, determining one or more constraints, dynamically selecting one of the plurality of forecasting models for each of the data streams based on accuracy metrics for the forecasting models, estimating cost metrics associated with each forecasting model, dynamically selecting the forecasting model based at least in part on the accuracy metrics, the cost metrics, and the determined constraints, and forecasting a first subsequent value of each data stream using the corresponding selected forecasting model.

Abstract: Exemplary methods for use in identifying crosses for use in plant breeding are disclosed. One exemplary method includes selecting a subgroup of potential crosses, based on thresholds associated with population prediction scores for the set of potential crosses. The exemplary method further includes selecting multiple target crosses from the subgroup of potential crosses based on a genetic relatedness of the parents in the subgroup of potential crosses, filtering the target crosses based on a rule (or rules) defining a threshold (or thresholds) for at least one characteristic and/or trait, selecting ones of the filtered target crosses based on risk associated with the selected one of the filtered target crosses, and directing the selected ones of the filtered target crosses into a breeding pipeline, thereby providing crosses to the breeding pipeline based, at least in part, on commercial success of parents included in the selected ones of the filtered crosses.

Abstract: Exemplary methods for identifying hybrids for use in a plant breeding pipeline are disclosed. One exemplary computer-implemented method includes accessing a data structure including data representative of a pool of hybrids and determining a prediction score for at least a portion of the hybrids included in the pool based on the data included in the data structure. The prediction score is indicative of a probability of selection and/or a probability of success of the hybrid based on historical data. The method further includes selecting a group of hybrids from the pool based on the prediction score, identifying a set of hybrids, from the group of hybrids, based on an expected performance of the set of hybrids and/or one or more factors associated with the hybrids and/or lines making up the hybrids, and also directing the set of hybrids to a further iteration or different phase in the breeding pipeline.

Abstract: Exemplary systems and methods are disclosed for allocating resources in a breeding pipeline to multiple origins. One exemplary method includes accessing a data structure including data representative of multiple origins, in which the data includes, for each of the multiple origins, a trait performance expression or genotypic component information. The exemplary method further includes determining a resource allocation, which allocates n resources among the multiple origins based on a probability associated with the trait performance expressions and/or the genotypic components for the origins, and then allocating the n resources in the breeding pipeline for the multiple origins, based on the determined resource allocation.

Abstract: In one embodiment, a device obtains quality of experience metrics for an online application. The device generates a mapping between network paths traversed by traffic of the online application and the quality of experience metrics. The device identifies a core entity along the network paths that is responsible for degradation of the quality of experience metrics. The device sends an alert regarding the core entity, whereby the alert causes the traffic of the online application to avoid the core entity.

Abstract: This disclosure relates to forecasting when and whether an invoice is to be paid and indicating such forecasts to a user. An example system is configured to perform operations including determining, by a classification model, a first confidence as to whether an invoice is to be paid, determining, by a regression model associated with the classification model, a first time associated with a second confidence as to when the invoice is likely to be paid, and indicating, to a user, whether the invoice is to be paid based on the first confidence and the first time when the invoice is likely to be paid based on the second confidence. The regression model may include one or more gradient boosted trees to determine the first time. Different times associated with different confidences can be determined by different gradient boosted trees, with the specific tree corresponding to the associated confidence.

Abstract: Systems and methods for forecasting cashflows across one or more accounts of a user disclosed. One example method may include retrieving a data set for each of a plurality of accounts from a database, constructing a graph including a plurality of nodes linked together by a multitude of edges, wherein each node identifies a time series value corresponding to one of the accounts, and each edge indicates a time series value of a corresponding set of transactions occurring between a corresponding pair of accounts, determining a plurality of constraints, determining a specified loss function based on the plurality of constraints, back-propagating a derivative of the specified loss function into a deep neural network (DNN) to determine a set of neural network parameters, forecasting, using the DNN, a time sequence for one or more of the nodes and one or more of the edges, and providing the forecasted time sequences to the user.

Abstract: Systems and methods for forecasting cashflows across one or more accounts of a user disclosed. One example method may include retrieving a data set for each of a plurality of accounts from a database, constructing a graph including a plurality of nodes linked together by a multitude of edges, wherein each node identifies a time series value corresponding to one of the accounts, and each edge indicates a time series value of a corresponding set of transactions occurring between a corresponding pair of accounts, determining a plurality of constraints, determining a specified loss function based on the plurality of constraints, back-propagating a derivative of the specified loss function into a deep neural network (DNN) to determine a set of neural network parameters, forecasting, using the DNN, a time sequence for one or more of the nodes and one or more of the edges, and providing the forecasted time sequences to the user.

Abstract: A server computer may receive and process a plurality of time series data to generate sparse datasets based on sparsity levels. The server computer applies a time series forecasting model to each respective subset of previous data points of the sparse datasets increasingly at the first time granularity to generate a set of prediction values and a set of residuals; applies a regression model to the set of the prediction residuals to generate a set of adjusted residuals for the sparse datasets; and generates a visualized explanation based on the set of the prediction values and the set of adjusted residuals for one or more of the sparse datasets.

Abstract: Certain aspects of the present disclosure provide techniques for performing finite rank deep kernel learning. In one example, a method for performing finite rank deep kernel learning includes receiving a training dataset; forming a set of embeddings by subjecting the training data set to a deep neural network; forming, from the set of embeddings, a plurality of dot kernels; combining the plurality of dot kernels to form a composite kernel for a Gaussian process; receiving live data from an application; and predicting a plurality of values and a plurality of uncertainties associated with the plurality of values simultaneously using the composite kernel.

Abstract: This disclosure relates to predictions based on a Bernoulli uncertainty characterization used in selecting between different prediction models. An example system is configured to perform operations including determining a prediction by a first prediction model. The first prediction model is associated with a loss function. The system is also configured to determine whether the prediction is associated with the first prediction model or a second prediction model based on a joint loss function. The second prediction model is associated with a likelihood function, and the joint loss function is based on the loss function and the likelihood function. The system is further configured to indicate the prediction to the user in response to determining that the prediction is associated with the first prediction model. If the prediction is associated with the second prediction model, the system may prevent indicating the prediction to the user.

Abstract: Exemplary systems and methods are disclosed for allocating resources in a breeding pipeline to multiple origins. One exemplary method includes accessing a data structure including data representative of multiple origins, in which the data includes, for each of the multiple origins, a trait performance expression or genotypic component information. The exemplary method further includes determining a resource allocation, which allocates n resources among the multiple origins based on a probability associated with the trait performance expressions and/or the genotypic components for the origins, and then allocating the n resources in the breeding pipeline for the multiple origins, based on the determined resource allocation.

Abstract: This disclosure relates to predictions based on a Bernoulli uncertainty characterization used in selecting between different prediction models. An example system is configured to perform operations including determining a prediction by a first prediction model. The first prediction model is associated with a loss function. The system is also configured to determine whether the prediction is associated with the first prediction model or a second prediction model based on a joint loss function. The second prediction model is associated with a likelihood function, and the joint loss function is based on the loss function and the likelihood function. The system is further configured to indicate the prediction to the user in response to determining that the prediction is associated with the first prediction model. If the prediction is associated with the second prediction model, the system may prevent indicating the prediction to the user.

Abstract: This disclosure relates to forecasting when and whether an invoice is to be paid and indicating such forecasts to a user. An example system is configured to perform operations including determining, by a classification model, a first confidence as to whether an invoice is to be paid, determining, by a regression model associated with the classification model, a first time associated with a second confidence as to when the invoice is likely to be paid, and indicating, to a user, whether the invoice is to be paid based on the first confidence and the first time when the invoice is likely to be paid based on the second confidence. The regression model may include one or more gradient boosted trees to determine the first time. Different times associated with different confidences can be determined by different gradient boosted trees, with the specific tree corresponding to the associated confidence.