Abstract: A method for generating human-machine hybrid predictions of answers to forecasting problems includes: parsing text of an individual forecasting problem to identify keywords; generating machine models based on the keywords; scraping data sources based on the keywords to collect scraped data relevant to the individual forecasting problem; providing the scraped data to the machine models; receiving machine predictions of answers to the individual forecasting problem from the machine models based on the scraped data; providing, by the computer system via a user interface, the scraped data to human participants; receiving, by the computer system via the user interface, human predictions of answers to the individual forecasting problem from the human participants; aggregating the machine predictions with the human predictions to generate aggregated predictions; and generating and outputting a hybrid prediction based on the aggregated predictions.

Abstract: A method for computing a human-machine hybrid ensemble prediction includes: receiving an individual forecasting question (IFP); classifying the IFP into one of a plurality of canonical question topics; identifying machine models associated with the canonical question topic; for each of the machine models: receiving, from one of a plurality of human participants: a first task input including a selection of sets of training data; a second task input including selections of portions of the selected sets of training data; and a third task input including model parameters to configure the machine model; training the machine model in accordance with the first, second, and third task inputs; and computing a machine model forecast based on the trained machine model; computing an aggregated forecast from machine model forecasts computed by the machine models; and sending an alert in response to determining that the aggregated forecast satisfies a threshold condition.

Abstract: Described is a system for continuously predicting and adapting optimal strategies for attacker elicitation. The system includes a global bot controlling processor unit and one or more local bot controlling processor units. The global bot controlling processor unit includes a multi-layer network software unit for extracting attacker features from diverse, out-of-band (OOB) media sources. The global controlling processing unit further includes an adaptive behavioral game theory (GT) software unit for determining a best strategy for eliciting identifying information from an attacker. Each local bot controlling processor unit includes a cognitive model (CM) software unit for estimating a cognitive state of the attacker and predicting attacker behavior. A generative adversarial network (GAN) software unit predicts the attacker's strategies.

Abstract: Described is a system for guiding opinions of users of a social media network. The system determines a number of control agents to be inserted into a population of users of the social media network. The system also determines a rate at which an expressed opinion of each control agent should change over a period of time. A control strategy is output which includes a control schedule based on the number of control agents to be inserted into the population of users and the rate at which the expressed opinion of each control agent should change over the period of time. Finally, the control schedule is deployed in the social media network.

Abstract: Described is a system for determining how opinions spread through a network. Opinion dynamics are applied to a network, each node having a corresponding opinion. Each node is described by an active state or an inactive state such that inactive nodes can update their opinions, and active nodes are fixed in their opinion at the time of activation. Inactive nodes can be influenced by both active nodes and inactive nodes. The opinion dynamics proceed in discrete time steps with an influence step for updating each inactive node's opinion, and a stochastic action step for determining whether an inactive node becomes activated. The system identifies how opinions spread through the network using the applied opinion dynamics, resulting in a set of opinion dynamics data. The opinion dynamics data is used to control information that a device or account is allowed to post to social media platform.

Abstract: Described is a system for guiding opinions of users of a social media network. The system determines a number of control agents to be inserted into a population of users of the social media network. The system also determines a rate at which an expressed opinion of each control agent should change over a period of time. A control strategy is output which includes a control schedule based on the number of control agents to be inserted into the population of users and the rate at which the expressed opinion of each control agent should change over the period of time. Finally, the control schedule is deployed in the social media network.

Abstract: A method for computing a human-machine hybrid ensemble prediction includes: receiving an individual forecasting question (IFP); classifying the IFP into one of a plurality of canonical question topics; identifying machine models associated with the canonical question topic; for each of the machine models: receiving, from one of a plurality of human participants: a first task input including a selection of sets of training data; a second task input including selections of portions of the selected sets of training data; and a third task input including model parameters to configure the machine model; training the machine model in accordance with the first, second, and third task inputs; and computing a machine model forecast based on the trained machine model; computing an aggregated forecast from machine model forecasts computed by the machine models; and sending an alert in response to determining that the aggregated forecast satisfies a threshold condition.

Abstract: Described is a system for automated event summarization. A multi-layer network representing a multimodal data set is generated, where nodes within a given layer represent information tokens in a given modality. A topically diverse set of nodes is ranked and selected from each layer to represent temporal event highlights. Temporal event highlights are linked into storylines. Using the storylines, the system monitors a progression of an event or opinions regarding a topic. A temporal summary of the progression of the event or the opinions regarding the topic is generated.

Abstract: A method for generating human-machine hybrid predictions of answers to forecasting problems includes: parsing text of an individual forecasting problem to identify keywords; generating machine models based on the keywords; scraping data sources based on the keywords to collect scraped data relevant to the individual forecasting problem; providing the scraped data to the machine models; receiving machine predictions of answers to the individual forecasting problem from the machine models based on the scraped data; providing, by the computer system via a user interface, the scraped data to human participants; receiving, by the computer system via the user interface, human predictions of answers to the individual forecasting problem from the human participants; aggregating the machine predictions with the human predictions to generate aggregated predictions; and generating and outputting a hybrid prediction based on the aggregated predictions.

Abstract: A vehicle system prognosis apparatus including sensor(s) for detecting a characteristic of a vehicle system and generating at least one time series of condition indicator values, and a processor that receives the at least one time series and generates an analysis model, for the characteristic, that is trained with one or more of the at least one time series, that are obtained from the one or more sensors with the vehicle system operating under normal conditions, extracts from the at least one time series one or more features embodying an indication of a health of the vehicle system, generates a quantified health assessment of the vehicle system by quantifying the one or more features based on a normal distribution of the one or more features from the analysis model, and communicates the quantified health assessment of the vehicle system to an operator or crew member of the vehicle.

Abstract: A vehicle system prognosis apparatus including sensor(s) for detecting a characteristic of a vehicle system and generating at least one time series of condition indicator values, and a processor that receives the at least one time series and generates an analysis model, for the characteristic, that is trained with one or more of the at least one time series, that are obtained from the one or more sensors with the vehicle system operating under normal conditions, extracts from the at least one time series one or more features embodying an indication of a health of the vehicle system, generates a quantified health assessment of the vehicle system by quantifying the one or more features based on a normal distribution of the one or more features from the analysis model, and communicates the quantified health assessment of the vehicle system to an operator or crew member of the vehicle.

Abstract: Described is a system for determining the current state of a drill using downhole sensors. The system includes a sensor suite mounted on a drill string proximate a drill bit and a computer mounted on the drill string proximate the sensor suite. The computer includes a trained classifier and is operable for performing operations of receiving online sensor data from the sensor suite; and classifying the drill bit as being in one of a plurality of pre-trained drill states based on the online sensor data. A drill bit controller can then be used to modify the operation of the drill bit based on the drill state classification.

Abstract: A method for making a cigarette container wherein a hollow container body is constructed having an open end which includes a step portion defining a surrounding rim and interior abutments. A plug is prepared which is sized to be received between the rim of the body and to abut the abutments. The plug includes a main plate, a metal layer attached to the main plate, and a heat activated adhesive located adjacent the metal layer and positioned to be immediately adjacent the step portion. An induction heating device is then located adjacent the open end of the body, and activated to heat the metal layer and hence to heat the adjacent adhesive so that after cooling the plug is bonded to the body by the adhesive and the plug thus permanently closes the open end of the body.

Abstract: A method for making a cigarette container wherein a hollow container body is constructed having an open end which includes a step portion defining a surrounding rim and interior abutments. A plug is prepared which is sized to be received between the rim of the body and to abut the abutments. The plug includes a main plate, a metal layer attached to the main plate, and a heat activated adhesive located adjacent the metal layer and positioned to be immediately adjacent the step portion. An induction heating device is then located adjacent the open end of the body, and activated to heat the metal layer and hence to heat the adjacent adhesive so that after cooling the plug is bonded to the body by the adhesive and the plug thus permanently closes the open end of the body.

Abstract: A method for bonding or joining plastic or metallic pipe using induced energy is provided. A susceptor is placed between the two pipes to be joined and a magnetic flux is induced onto the susceptor. The second pipe may be a coupling device. The magnetic flux may be induced by a tank circuit or an induction heating gun. The induction heating gun may be formed with a hinged heating head. The susceptor may be a perforated metal ring or a wire coil. The susceptor is coated with a material compatible with the pipes, for example, a plastic adhesive material, magnetic flux is an induction heating gun having a hinged heating head.

Abstract: An induction heating device includes a handle having a hollow interior and two opposite ends, a wrist connected to one end of the handle, a U-shaped pole piece having two spaced apart ends, a tank circuit including an induction coil wrapped around the pole piece and a capacitor connected to the induction coil, a head connected to the wrist and including a housing for receiving the U-shaped pole piece, the two spaced apart ends of the pole piece extending outwardly beyond the housing, and a power source connected to the tank circuit. When the tank circuit is energized and a susceptor is placed in juxtaposition to the ends of the U-shaped pole piece, the susceptor is heated by induction heating due to a magnetic flux passing between the two ends of the pole piece.

Abstract: An induction heating device includes an induction heating gun which includes a housing, a U-shaped pole piece having two spaced apart opposite ends defining a gap therebetween, the U-shaped pole piece being mounted in one end of the housing, and a tank circuit including an induction coil wrapped around the pole piece and a capacitor connected to the induction coil. A power source is connected to the tank circuit. A pull test machine is provided having a stationary chuck and a movable chuck, the two chucks holding two test pieces bonded together at a bond region. The heating gun is mounted on the pull test machine in close proximity to the bond region of the two test pieces, whereby when the tank circuit is energized, the two test pieces are heated by induction heating while a tension load is applied to the two test pieces by the pull test machine to determine separation strength of the bond region.

Abstract: An induction heating device includes a handle having a hollow interior and two opposite ends, a wrist connected to one end of the handle, a U-shaped pole piece having two spaced apart ends, a tank circuit including an induction coil wrapped around the pole piece and a capacitor connected to the induction coil, a head connected to the wrist and including a housing for receiving the U-shaped pole piece, the two spaced apart ends of the pole piece extending outwardly beyond the housing, and a power source connected to the tank circuit. When the tank circuit is energized and a susceptor is placed in juxtaposition to the ends of the U-shaped pole piece, the susceptor is heated by induction heating due to a magnetic flux passing between the two ends of the pole piece.

Abstract: An induction heating head includes a length of wire having first and second opposite ends and being wound in a flat spiral shape to form an induction coil, a capacitor connected to the first and second ends of the wire, the induction coil and capacitor defining a tank circuit, and a flexible, elastomeric body molded to encase the induction coil. When a susceptor is placed in juxtaposition to the body, and the tank circuit is powered, the susceptor is inductively heated.